It seems a little different everywhere. No state has seen it act in the exact same way. A few states are beginning to see 30-50% prevalence rates in bucks 2.5+ and 30+% in the antlerless population. This has taken those states several years to get there. AR on the other hand has not been positive all that long and have seen prevalence rates cross the 20% mark already.

The population concern comes in at those 30% plus numbers. That is typically the percent we as hunters remove from the population. It obviously varies all over but that's kinda the rule of thumb, that with a healthy herd you'll hover around a 30% surplus. When you no longer have a surplus on the landscape and you continue to add up all of the different mortalities plus hunting related mortalities, you start driving your deer herd into lower and lower numbers.

That said, these states that have reached this mark have just started seeing this so we don't have a great grasp on what's going to happen. They are watching it and the results will be interesting to follow.