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Hurricane watch #3732782
08/23/22 09:40 PM
08/23/22 09:40 PM
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 11,392
Prattville
D
Dkhargroves Offline OP
Booner
Dkhargroves  Offline OP
Booner
D
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 11,392
Prattville
Labor Day Weekend GFS models pointing toward a major hurricane coming straight up the pipe. Panama city-mobile bay area. 940MB is strong CAT3- weak 4. Likely to change but this model was predicted 4 days ago so leaning more likely

[Linked Image]


Originally Posted by Johntravis89
There is 2 different high fence. 1 small and one big! Mine was free range in the big pen and was not a breeder buck. Why does it have to be twisted around??
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3732789
08/23/22 09:51 PM
08/23/22 09:51 PM
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 11,075
Earth
TDog93 Online content
Booner
TDog93  Online Content
Booner
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 11,075
Earth
We got rain for next 2 weeks after 5 years of record rain - wondering when the loggers and timber guys all quit around here - high wind will blow every tree down in this area if we get a hurricane


Hunt the wind - leave it better than you found it - love your neighbor as you love your self
We need prayer for our country now more than ever
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3732805
08/23/22 10:42 PM
08/23/22 10:42 PM
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,712
Oak Grove, AL
B
Butchman205 Offline
8 point
Butchman205  Offline
8 point
B
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,712
Oak Grove, AL
We’ve got plenty of rain here the last few days, and could stand some more.
James Spann said that possible hurricane up the gulf coast is highly unlikely at this point.

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733085
08/24/22 12:13 PM
08/24/22 12:13 PM
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 11,652
Longwood, FL
J
jlbuc10 Offline
Booner
jlbuc10  Offline
Booner
J
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 11,652
Longwood, FL
Great supposed to go to Pensacola next Thursday-Monday

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733090
08/24/22 12:22 PM
08/24/22 12:22 PM
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 4,501
george county ms
johndeere5036 Offline
10 point
johndeere5036  Offline
10 point
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 4,501
george county ms


WTH is that. Dang it’s been raining here for the past few weeks every day. Lord knows if we get a gust of wind equivalent to a fart trees are gonna be laid down everywhere

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733091
08/24/22 12:27 PM
08/24/22 12:27 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 10,678
Santa Rosa/Conecuh
hallb Offline
Booner
hallb  Offline
Booner
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 10,678
Santa Rosa/Conecuh
Boy that don't look good....

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733092
08/24/22 12:30 PM
08/24/22 12:30 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 10,678
Santa Rosa/Conecuh
hallb Offline
Booner
hallb  Offline
Booner
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 10,678
Santa Rosa/Conecuh
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733099
08/24/22 12:44 PM
08/24/22 12:44 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,825
LASW
turkey247 Online content
12 point
turkey247  Online Content
12 point
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,825
LASW
I wish Spann would cuss every now and again. His summary was, it’s BS for now to speculate that far in advance and internet weather trolls are morons and the people that fall for it are worse. But he would never say it like that.

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733100
08/24/22 12:45 PM
08/24/22 12:45 PM
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 11,719
Saraland, Alabama
hammerhead Offline
Booner
hammerhead  Offline
Booner
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 11,719
Saraland, Alabama
Dang weather forecasters can't even get the forecast a couple days out right...how can they forecast a storm, that hasn't even formed yet, a week and a half out?

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733101
08/24/22 12:46 PM
08/24/22 12:46 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,825
LASW
turkey247 Online content
12 point
turkey247  Online Content
12 point
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,825
LASW
It’s raining as bad or worse this week than any hurricane anyway. One kick in the nuts after another.

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: turkey247] #3733111
08/24/22 01:11 PM
08/24/22 01:11 PM
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 52,290
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
James Offline
Freak of Nature
James  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 52,290
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
Originally Posted by turkey247
It’s raining as bad or worse this week than any hurricane anyway. One kick in the nuts after another.


I know and i'm sick Iof it. We were talking the other day about how it most likely won't rain come planting time, and i told 'em at this point i really don't give a DAMN...



Do not regret growing older, it's a privilege denied to many!

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733115
08/24/22 01:22 PM
08/24/22 01:22 PM
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,449
Sumter County
sumpter_al Offline
10 point
sumpter_al  Offline
10 point
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,449
Sumter County
Looks like is has moved west and not as strong now.

But North Sumter is about to float away. Spann said it looks like more than 10" since midnight. And its still raining.

I have a couple trees down from the spring and was going to cut them up and split them for firewood this weekend. Guess ill wait till the ground is firmer than gravy. That dirt there is different than most of Alabama, when its wet you dont do anything.


I love my country, but don't trust my government.
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: hallb] #3733149
08/24/22 02:39 PM
08/24/22 02:39 PM
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 3,582
Lower Alabama
Andalusia Offline
10 point
Andalusia  Offline
10 point
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 3,582
Lower Alabama
Originally Posted by hallb
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

I agree...where is this posted because I'm not seeing it anywhere??


"If you are the smartest person in the room, you're in the wrong room"

"How you do Anything, is how you do Everything"

"It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it"
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733151
08/24/22 02:41 PM
08/24/22 02:41 PM
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 3,230
Semmes, AL
HippieKiller Offline
10 point
HippieKiller  Offline
10 point
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 3,230
Semmes, AL
I honestly can't remember the last day it DID NOT rain in Mobile, at least a little.


"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." - Thomas Jefferson
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Andalusia] #3733153
08/24/22 02:44 PM
08/24/22 02:44 PM
Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 19,100
Chelsea, AL
straycat Offline
Old Mossy Horns
straycat  Offline
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 19,100
Chelsea, AL
Originally Posted by Andalusia
Originally Posted by hallb
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

I agree...where is this posted because I'm not seeing it anywhere??


It must be an advance forecast model, As in, it could become that over Labor Day weekend., of Disturbance #1 on the NOAA site. #! is east of the Winward Islands currently with a less than 20% chance of formation over the next 4-5 days.


"The grass withers, the flower fades, But the word of our God stands forever." Isaiah 40:8

"Neither the wisest constitution nor the wisest laws will secure the liberty and happiness of a people whose manners are universally corrupt.� Samuel Adams
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733156
08/24/22 02:46 PM
08/24/22 02:46 PM
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 39,456
Marshall County
FurFlyin Offline
Freak of Nature
FurFlyin  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 39,456
Marshall County
James Spann said that’s fake news


If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then will I hear from heaven and will forgive their sin and will heal their land. 2 Chronicles 7:14
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Andalusia] #3733169
08/24/22 03:01 PM
08/24/22 03:01 PM
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,449
Sumter County
sumpter_al Offline
10 point
sumpter_al  Offline
10 point
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,449
Sumter County
Originally Posted by Andalusia
Originally Posted by hallb
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

I agree...where is this posted because I'm not seeing it anywhere??



Tropicaltidbits.com It is a site with modeling data. Yes it is long range GFS models. Yesterday it showed a well formed storm and hitting Gulf Shores on 9\3. Todays shows less formation and it going over Louisiana on 9\4. It is too far our for anything to be accurate (thats what Spann was saying). But several days of models show something forming in the southern Gulf of Mexico. I guess that makes news because nothing has formed yet this year.

I am sure something will form at some point but there is no way to know how strong it will be or in what direction it will head. The Gulf is really warm and that will allow for storm formation.

I watch the models as a hobby and because I am associated with a charity that responds to disaster locations to provide free meals. I look at the long range models to see how I need to manage my business schedule so I can take time off work to serve people in need.

If anyone is interested in my charity the website address is heretoserveinc.org . It is a non profit but if it is not approprate to post the website I would ask that a moderator take it down or PM me to do so.

Last edited by sumpter_al; 08/24/22 03:02 PM.

I love my country, but don't trust my government.
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733170
08/24/22 03:02 PM
08/24/22 03:02 PM
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 798
Baldwin County
B
bald347 Offline
4 point
bald347  Offline
4 point
B
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 798
Baldwin County
God, I pray you are wrong!

Re: Hurricane watch [Re: Dkhargroves] #3733173
08/24/22 03:09 PM
08/24/22 03:09 PM
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 16,842
Banana Republic
jb20 Offline
Old Mossy Horns
jb20  Offline
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 16,842
Banana Republic
Dang was going to panhandle fishing labor day


They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.
Ben Franklin
Re: Hurricane watch [Re: HippieKiller] #3733184
08/24/22 03:31 PM
08/24/22 03:31 PM
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 11,719
Saraland, Alabama
hammerhead Offline
Booner
hammerhead  Offline
Booner
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 11,719
Saraland, Alabama
Originally Posted by HippieKiller
I honestly can't remember the last day it DID NOT rain in Mobile, at least a little.


Seems that we are living the Vietnam rain scene from Forrest Gump down here

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