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Velvet
by swamp_fever2002. 05/02/24 06:48 PM
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: bama_earl]
#3668068
05/10/22 10:20 AM
05/10/22 10:20 AM
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Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 10,542
abolt300
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 10,542
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See above. I corrected for you with proper nomenclature. And for the record, it's LOI in this case. In the past year, the S&P 500 is actually up 0.21%. Since January its down about 8%. A mutual fund that tracks the S&P 500 is your best bet in my opinion . I recommend Vanguard because of their low fees.
If you lost 20-70%, then you are in high risk. Nobody take your stock advice from Bama Earl, he evidently cannot read or do basic math. S&P Jan 3 - 4,796 S&P close yesterday - 3,991 That's a shade over 20% there junior. You must've gone to the Biden school of economics. You know, the one where the real 25% inflation is 8.5% inflation. I just logged into my Fidelity Account and here are the correct numbers. The S&P last 3 months its down -8%, Jan 1st to today its down -12.9%. The one year total return is flat at 0.21%. You must not be in a true S&P 500 fund then. The differential in the S&P index from Jan 3 (first trading day of the year) close at 4,796 and yesterday's close of 3,991 is 20.17%. From an LOI standpoint, it is sitting at a flat 16.78% loss from the opening day close of 2022 and yesterday's close. These are actual recorded official closes on the S&P 500 and the closing numbers are published, recorded daily, and indisputable. If you've only lost 12.9% then youre actually lucky that your fund is not a true "mirror" of the S&P. Congrats.
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: DryFire]
#3668071
05/10/22 10:25 AM
05/10/22 10:25 AM
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Joined: May 2015
Posts: 6,363 On the X
TickaTicka
12 point
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12 point
Joined: May 2015
Posts: 6,363
On the X
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He missed the "sell" by a bunch.
Looking for another 5-8% drop.
S&P to 3750 or so.
Public Land Owner
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: DryFire]
#3668131
05/10/22 12:02 PM
05/10/22 12:02 PM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 34,534 Boxes Cove
2Dogs
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 34,534
Boxes Cove
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Buy signal for me. I bought some DG bout 15 minutes ago. Skinny will be proud, LOL.
"Why do you ask"?
Always vote the slowest path to socialism.
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: DryFire]
#3668181
05/10/22 01:06 PM
05/10/22 01:06 PM
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Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,367 Kennedy, al
globe
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,367
Kennedy, al
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My 401k is down , but my TD ameritrade is still up 10% this year.
FSUMF MRK
How do y’all feel about Netflix (as an investment). It’s way down, so is Roblox.
Everything woke turns to shucks
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: globe]
#3668184
05/10/22 01:10 PM
05/10/22 01:10 PM
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Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 14,029 Some Marriott/Auburn
AU7MM08
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 14,029
Some Marriott/Auburn
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My 401k is down , but my TD ameritrade is still up 10% this year.
FSUMF MRK
How do y’all feel about Netflix (as an investment).
It’s way down, so is Roblox.
I don't think Netflix has enough of a Competitive moat Netflix isn’t a single company stock that I would want to purchase and hold long term.
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: DryFire]
#3668215
05/10/22 01:55 PM
05/10/22 01:55 PM
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Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,166 B'ham
Goatkiller
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,166
B'ham
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Get out. That's my advice. I rode the market decline in 2008 listening to what someone said I should do and ride it. Looking back now I clearly see that was a terrible decision.
If you ride it down you have no choice you have to stay in your investments. The question is what industry and which companies recover first and that's always what nobody is going to talk about. Your losses are as real as it gets.
I am still investing but only "new" money as this thing capsizes like a ship I'll put new money in at a discount but the vast majority I won't lose riding this turd to the bottom. That was stupid back in 2008 and even more stupid today this market could be down for years we have serious problems and no bullets in the gun.
Last edited by Goatkiller; 05/10/22 01:58 PM.
No government employees were harmed in the making of this mess.
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: DryFire]
#3668227
05/10/22 02:14 PM
05/10/22 02:14 PM
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Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 64,009 Luverne, AL
Skinny
GUVNER
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GUVNER
Joined: Aug 2001
Posts: 64,009
Luverne, AL
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Netflix is being out competed by older more experienced companies with many more resources. Netflix's big run is over.
Buy DG.:D
Never Trust Government
"You can be broke but you cant be poor." Ruthie-May Webster
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: DryFire]
#3668271
05/10/22 03:16 PM
05/10/22 03:16 PM
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Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,166 B'ham
Goatkiller
14 point
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14 point
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,166
B'ham
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What's going to happen to DG will surely be interesting. Their whole empire is built on a growth model. When interest rates spike and they can no-longer build 500 stores every month..... I don't know what will happen there. There are cap rates on leases, etc. and the thing to watch out for on DG is if and when they stop expanding. I haven't looked but I might take a gander at any information they provide that shows same store sales or year over year without the additional/added store location growth.
I don't know if they provide anything like that publicly or their entire persona is based solely around "we added 2,000 stores last week our revenue is up $100 million".
The good news is to this point they have understood who they are as a company and have not been trying to be something that they are not.
No government employees were harmed in the making of this mess.
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: globe]
#3668285
05/10/22 03:41 PM
05/10/22 03:41 PM
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Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 21,445 HSV AL
jmudler
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Nov 2015
Posts: 21,445
HSV AL
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M How do y’all feel about Netflix (as an investment).
No way I would put a penny in Netflix
Last edited by jmudler; 05/10/22 03:42 PM.
Isaiah 5:20 Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness, who put bitter for sweet and sweet for bitter.
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: Goatkiller]
#3668293
05/10/22 03:53 PM
05/10/22 03:53 PM
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Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 16,836 Banana Republic
jb20
Old Mossy Horns
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Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 16,836
Banana Republic
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What's going to happen to DG will surely be interesting. Their whole empire is built on a growth model. When interest rates spike and they can no-longer build 500 stores every month..... I don't know what will happen there. There are cap rates on leases, etc. and the thing to watch out for on DG is if and when they stop expanding. I haven't looked but I might take a gander at any information they provide that shows same store sales or year over year without the additional/added store location growth.
I don't know if they provide anything like that publicly or their entire persona is based solely around "we added 2,000 stores last week our revenue is up $100 million".
The good news is to this point they have understood who they are as a company and have not been trying to be something that they are not.
Take away the expansion and it'll only add to the bottom line...they gonna be fine as long as they have shoppers...the buildings r just the right size to keep overhead down
They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. Ben Franklin
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: TickaTicka]
#3668304
05/10/22 04:08 PM
05/10/22 04:08 PM
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Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 7,211 Meridianville
DryFire
OP
14 point
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OP
14 point
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 7,211
Meridianville
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He missed the "sell" by a bunch.
Looking for another 5-8% drop.
S&P to 3750 or so.
I read his email which comes out every Friday afternoon. Sometimes it's not what he says, but what he doesn't say. Based on what he didn't say is why I sold my holdings in February. When he gave the buy signal in June 2009, the market had already reached its low and was on its way back up. All I'm saying is when he says sell, be prepared for a significant downward trend in the stock market. The younger investors just need to keep investing. Us older investors (I'm 64) need to make decisions on how to lock in the gains, even if it means we miss out on positive returns.
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Re: The Sell Signal
[Re: jb20]
#3668305
05/10/22 04:08 PM
05/10/22 04:08 PM
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 34,534 Boxes Cove
2Dogs
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 34,534
Boxes Cove
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What's going to happen to DG will surely be interesting. Their whole empire is built on a growth model. When interest rates spike and they can no-longer build 500 stores every month..... I don't know what will happen there. There are cap rates on leases, etc. and the thing to watch out for on DG is if and when they stop expanding. I haven't looked but I might take a gander at any information they provide that shows same store sales or year over year without the additional/added store location growth.
I don't know if they provide anything like that publicly or their entire persona is based solely around "we added 2,000 stores last week our revenue is up $100 million".
The good news is to this point they have understood who they are as a company and have not been trying to be something that they are not.
Take away the expansion and it'll only add to the bottom line...they gonna be fine as long as they have shoppers...the buildings r just the right size to keep overhead down Earnings are strong, they make $ when the economy is good , they make $ when it's bad. Nobody out there is doing what they are. The company I retired from makes their store fixtures, they are the first to know when DG makes a move. DG is strong , only thing that might pull them down is Brandon. They ain't gonna stump their own toe.
"Why do you ask"?
Always vote the slowest path to socialism.
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