</a JR Holmes Oil Company </a Shark Guard Southeast Woods and Whitetail Mayer Insurance Services LLC
Aldeer Classifieds
WTB 3” Remington 870 20 gauge
by JUGHEAD. 05/07/24 10:55 AM
Husqvarna 460 Rancher
by Justice. 05/07/24 10:25 AM
ZEISS CONQUEST V4
by extreme heights hunter. 05/06/24 01:54 PM
McWhorter .45 XML muzzlelaoder and accessories
by daylate. 05/06/24 01:30 PM
Framed Duck Prints - Woodies and Canvasbacks
by Rem870s2. 05/06/24 12:20 PM
Serious Deer Talk
For the Don’t Shoot Does Crowd
by Mbrock. 05/07/24 07:43 AM
Springtime and refreshin' your Clorox stump
by marshmud991. 05/06/24 05:08 PM
Meat hunt outfitter?
by Snuffy. 05/06/24 03:28 PM
Who's got the best deer hunting in AL
by Overland. 05/06/24 02:53 PM
Velvet
by Turkey_neck. 05/04/24 09:13 AM
May
S M T W T F S
1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19 20 21 22 23 24 25
26 27 28 29 30 31
Land, Leases, Hunting Clubs
Lowndes county club
by Doeslayer44. 05/07/24 10:11 AM
Looking for Turkey Hunting Land
by Nightwatchman. 05/06/24 01:46 PM
Need dozer work. Cullman area
by Trecker1. 05/02/24 02:33 PM
Looking for 24-25….Turkey land, or all game
by ALMODUX. 04/27/24 06:46 AM
Hunting Lease Insurance
by mw2015. 04/23/24 07:49 PM
Who's Online Now
103 registered members (ALMODUX, crenshawco, BentBarrel, 7PTSPREAD, Antelope08, Dilbert, Backwards cowboy, WMEC615, riflenut, Parker243, 007, Young20, gradythemachine, Mbrock, Uokman2014, longshot, Geeb, Forrestgump1, jake5050, Beer Belly, Gobble4me757, Deerslayer33, Morris, Semo, Whild_Bill, turkey247, blade, Rip Wheeler, Obsession, Happysappy, Rolloverdave, dtmwtp, Shaneomac2, Longtine, 3Gs, timberwolfe, deadeye48, Okatuppa, bamapanic, Herdbull, G/H, Andalusia, burbank, Buckwheat, Kicker, mzzy, IMISSALDEER, hallb, JustHunt, PourIron12, Ray_Coon, odocoileus, donia, Dog, trlrdrdave, Justice, TurkeyJoe, salock, woodduck, BBD23, BrandonClark, Swamp Monkey, pickenstj, jawbone, Showout, roll_tide_hunts, NotsoBright, doc bar, BCLC, kodiak06, ducky25, TensawRiver, Squadron77, Sgiles, geeb1, mossyback, Team_Stuckem, catdoctor, Cuz-Pat, toyota05, BigEd, Canterberry, Boathand, Bamarich2, hoggin, RockFarmer, TexasHuntress, ts1979flh, jwalker77, slippinlipjr, rst87, 12 invisible), 1,112 guests, and 0 spiders.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Page 10 of 11 1 2 8 9 10 11
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2408536
02/14/18 10:20 PM
02/14/18 10:20 PM
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,002
Choctaw
BillyRay Offline
6 point
BillyRay  Offline
6 point
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,002
Choctaw
Bucks:1
Doe: 2


ROLL TIDE ROLL
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2408705
02/15/18 02:21 AM
02/15/18 02:21 AM
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 6,778
Alabama
3
3FFarms Offline
ALDEER SPONSOR
3FFarms  Offline
ALDEER SPONSOR
3
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 6,778
Alabama
Originally Posted by CNC
Here’s the hunter survey information for 2015-16 as well as a chart showing previous years…….

http://www.outdooralabama.com/sites...labama%20Hunting%20Survey%20Report_0.pdf


Going by what they’re showing…….We should have approx. 190,000 deer hunters if there hasn’t been any drastic changes compared to the last five years. If we use that number along with our average kill % then that gives us……..

159,000 bucks killed
133,000 does killed

Total Harvest: 292,000

In comparison, last years estimated harvest was 295,000 so we may not be that far off with our survey.



So if those numbers are correct and we as a state have an "estimated" 1.5 million deer, why isn't the deer population growing exponentially?

Personally because I think our estimate is way high. I wouldn't be surprised if we have less that 1M head.


Originally Posted by CNC
Ya'll are just overthinking it now

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: 3FFarms] #2408748
02/15/18 06:09 AM
02/15/18 06:09 AM
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 173
Statesville, AL
T
tripleHarmony Offline
3 point
tripleHarmony  Offline
3 point
T
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 173
Statesville, AL
Bucks 1
Doe 0
2 hunters

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2408752
02/15/18 06:31 AM
02/15/18 06:31 AM
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 12,788
Thomasville, AL
H
Hogwild Offline
Booner
Hogwild  Offline
Booner
H
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 12,788
Thomasville, AL
I think that the estimated population is high.
We, as AL hunters, are taking a higher percentage of the herd thanks normally depicted.

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2408766
02/15/18 07:38 AM
02/15/18 07:38 AM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
CNC Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
One thing to keep in mind is that we’re just looking at an estimated hunter harvest……not total mortality. In order to estimate total annual mortality we would have to add in the number of deer hit by cars, eaten by coyotes, died of disease/fighting, etc…..


We dont rent pigs
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2408808
02/15/18 08:52 AM
02/15/18 08:52 AM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,371
Kennedy, al
G
globe Offline
Booner
globe  Offline
Booner
G
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,371
Kennedy, al
No joke, four got killed within 200 yards of my house just this deer season. The # of car related deaths statewide would be staggering.


Everything woke turns to shucks
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2408862
02/15/18 09:47 AM
02/15/18 09:47 AM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
CNC Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
Just doing a quick search I found an estimate for 2013 that said 2100 deer/car related crashes…..That seems like bullchit. Maybe its not a real significant number compared to hunter harvest but I see dead deer all over the damn roads around here. That seems really low for statewide. Their estimate must just be insurance claims…..Maybe there’s a lot that are hit and not turned in on insurance.

I think coyotes are probably the biggest secondary factor next to hunters. However many coyotes there are in the woods…..you might as well just add that number to the 180,000 human hunters. …..how many deer (on average) does each yote kill during the whole year to add on to the top of our harvest???......

Last edited by CNC; 02/15/18 09:48 AM.

We dont rent pigs
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409038
02/15/18 12:08 PM
02/15/18 12:08 PM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,371
Kennedy, al
G
globe Offline
Booner
globe  Offline
Booner
G
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 11,371
Kennedy, al
I should have said vehicle related deaths, I bet most are by semis at night, and they never check up.


Everything woke turns to shucks
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409048
02/15/18 12:17 PM
02/15/18 12:17 PM
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 474
Birmingham, AL
I
ivanwright Offline
4 point
ivanwright  Offline
4 point
I
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 474
Birmingham, AL
1 doe.

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409180
02/15/18 02:42 PM
02/15/18 02:42 PM
Joined: Aug 2017
Posts: 26
Autauga county alabama
W
Wj1978 Offline
spike
Wj1978  Offline
spike
W
Joined: Aug 2017
Posts: 26
Autauga county alabama
me:
1 buck
1 doe


daughter
1 buck

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409300
02/15/18 04:30 PM
02/15/18 04:30 PM
Joined: Jul 2014
Posts: 2,372
alabama
H
hunter84 Offline
8 point
hunter84  Offline
8 point
H
Joined: Jul 2014
Posts: 2,372
alabama
I know a trucker who said he, himself, hit 14 deer this year... and your right, he never checks up, keeps the hammer down.

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409424
02/15/18 06:33 PM
02/15/18 06:33 PM
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 2,023
AL
T
therealhojo Offline
8 point
therealhojo  Offline
8 point
T
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 2,023
AL
What’s the percentage of people that have commented vs the people that have viewed the post?

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409429
02/15/18 06:46 PM
02/15/18 06:46 PM
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 3,622
Spanish Fort
TurkeyJoe Online content
10 point
TurkeyJoe  Online Content
10 point
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 3,622
Spanish Fort
One buck two does tween me and my boys.


Micah 6:8
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409469
02/15/18 07:38 PM
02/15/18 07:38 PM
Joined: May 2014
Posts: 416
Live GA/ Hunt Dale co.
N
NotsoBright Online content
4 point
NotsoBright  Online Content
4 point
N
Joined: May 2014
Posts: 416
Live GA/ Hunt Dale co.
Big fat 0/0

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CrimsonWSM] #2409552
02/15/18 08:38 PM
02/15/18 08:38 PM
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 2,647
Florida
P
Peach Offline
10 point
Peach  Offline
10 point
P
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 2,647
Florida
Bucks three

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409656
02/15/18 09:38 PM
02/15/18 09:38 PM
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1,361
M
mman Offline
8 point
mman  Offline
8 point
M
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1,361
2 Bucks
4 does

Could have easily tagged out on bucks, but hoping they survive till next year.

Total for the other 11 club members (plus 3 kids and 2 spouses that hunted some):

14 Bucks
22 Does

So, 16 Bucks and 26 does killed on our club.

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409838
02/16/18 07:17 AM
02/16/18 07:17 AM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
CNC Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
Alright fellas, voting is now closed.......Here are the final tallies

394 hunters surveyed
322 bucks killed
286 does killed


Bucks killed per hunter 0.82
Does killed per hunter 0.72


Total estimated buck harvest 155,800
Total estimated doe harvest 136,800

Total estimated harvest 292,600


We dont rent pigs
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409910
02/16/18 09:34 AM
02/16/18 09:34 AM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 12,115
Sylacauga, AL
poorcountrypreacher Offline
Booner
poorcountrypreacher  Offline
Booner
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 12,115
Sylacauga, AL
Good job, CNC. I would think that your final numbers are reasonably close to what actually happened. The number of hunters you used is probably low because you didn't count the unlicensed hunters, but the hunters that are interested enough in deer hunting to post on this forum probably killed more deer than hunters that just go a time or 2, so the errors may balance out and be pretty close. One thing in your survey's favor was that the deer killed per hunter didn't change a whole lot as you got more responses.

So this survey wasn't random and you had less than 400 to participate, and you still got a number very close to what the hunter survey has been showing for years. It was random and got more than 3000 responses, so maybe more folks can understand why I've always thought it should be correct within the standard error.

But the hunter survey method of measuring the deer harvest had no provision for enforcement of limits. Could it be that was the primary purpose of GC and all the talk about better data was just a smokescreen? I honestly can't say for sure, but I am sure the GC numbers are worthless unless most hunters start to participate in it.

Good hunting to all.


All the labor of man is for his mouth, and yet the appetite is not filled.
Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409980
02/16/18 10:31 AM
02/16/18 10:31 AM
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 2,023
AL
T
therealhojo Offline
8 point
therealhojo  Offline
8 point
T
Joined: Mar 2016
Posts: 2,023
AL
There were over 2900 views of this post yet only 197 replies. Less than 7% response rate. Does that factor in at all?

Re: Aldeer Deer Harvest Estimate [Re: CNC] #2409987
02/16/18 10:37 AM
02/16/18 10:37 AM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
CNC Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
CNC  Offline OP
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 21,821
Awbarn, AL
Thanks PCP!…….. thumbup

We may still be off but I think we’re at least somewhere in the ballpark. The buck % has been slowly decreasing throughout the survey so if I had to guess I’d say we’re overestimating a little.


We dont rent pigs
Page 10 of 11 1 2 8 9 10 11

Aldeer.com Copyright 2001-2023 Aldeer LLP.
Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 7.6.1.1
(Release build 20180111)
Page Time: 0.253s Queries: 15 (0.052s) Memory: 3.2948 MB (Peak: 3.6024 MB) Zlib disabled. Server Time: 2024-05-07 16:06:46 UTC