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Game Check Scenario #1759505
06/13/16 05:17 AM
06/13/16 05:17 AM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 21,797
USA
R
Remington270 Offline OP
Freak of Nature
Remington270  Offline OP
Freak of Nature
R
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USA
Please chime in and tell me what will happen as a result of the following scenario: Using only 2 counties for simplicity.

2016-2017 season: Winston county: 10,000 deer killed ( 4,000 bucks, 6,000 does)
Dallas County: 10,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 6,000 does)

2017-2018 season Winston county: 11,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks killed, 7,000 does)
Dallas County: 9,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 5,000 does)

2018-2019 season: Winston county: 8,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 4,000 does)
Dallas county: 9,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 5,000 does)

2019-2020 season: Winston county: 7,600 deer killed (3,000 bucks, 4,600 does)
Dallas county: 10,000 deer killed (4,000 bucks, 6,000 does)

This is the data we'll get. Someone give me an idea of what will happen next with this data.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759513
06/13/16 05:24 AM
06/13/16 05:24 AM
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 25,178
Guntersville, AL
IDOT Offline
I am Cornholio
IDOT  Offline
I am Cornholio
Joined: Dec 2004
Posts: 25,178
Guntersville, AL
I would imagine, they would graph multiple data points and use that data as a whole, to determine the health of the herd vs license sales and hunters. It's all about data, you have to have data. Data is used to monitor both the good and bad, without it you're just pissing in the wind.

To be honest, with information you posted alone, you couldn't make any determination of what was going on.


Originally Posted by Patricia Heaton
If you’re a common sense person, you probably don’t feel you have a home in this world right now. If you’re a Christian, you know you were never meant to.


Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: IDOT] #1759517
06/13/16 05:30 AM
06/13/16 05:30 AM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 21,797
USA
R
Remington270 Offline OP
Freak of Nature
Remington270  Offline OP
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USA
Originally Posted By: IDOT
I would imagine, they would graph multiple data points and use that data as a whole, to determine the health of the herd vs license sales and hunters. It's all about data, you have to have data. Data is used to monitor both the good and bad, without it you're just pissing in the wind.

To be honest, with information you posted alone, you couldn't make any determination of what was going on.


What other information will they have? This is what game check is.

And if you go and don't see any deer, how will they know?

Last edited by Remington270; 06/13/16 05:30 AM.
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759534
06/13/16 06:00 AM
06/13/16 06:00 AM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 20,017
PDL, Fl
T
timbercruiser Offline
Freak of Nature
timbercruiser  Offline
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T
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 20,017
PDL, Fl
Nothing, they will study the information for 5 or so years and then determine that further changes in the Game Check is necessary for further study. Another 5 or so year study, repeat.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759548
06/13/16 06:22 AM
06/13/16 06:22 AM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline
14 point
bigt  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.

Last edited by bigt; 06/13/16 06:24 AM.

Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: bigt] #1759657
06/13/16 09:13 AM
06/13/16 09:13 AM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 21,797
USA
R
Remington270 Offline OP
Freak of Nature
Remington270  Offline OP
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Joined: Nov 2011
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Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: bigt] #1759660
06/13/16 09:17 AM
06/13/16 09:17 AM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,494
Jefferson
F
Fun4all Offline
10 point
Fun4all  Offline
10 point
F
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,494
Jefferson
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


You realized that the deer herd Statewide was growing or stable until the highbrow QDMA management strategies were the management advantage, oops didn't mean to imply anything, management style became vogue. Now to listen to the noise no deer are being seen, renegades are slaughtering everything that is brown and now we need to change to the next highbrow management strategy du jour to correct the management plan that was instituted to solve the too many does and not enough giant magnormous elk antler pig bucks. So what will be next to solve the next problem that was created by the same government group that created the previous problem?? The circular stupidity of government feeds itself.


"After all, it is not the killing that brings satisfaction; it is the contest of skill and cunning. The true hunter counts his achievement in proportion to the effort involved and the fairness of the sport." Dr. Saxton Pope
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759724
06/13/16 11:29 AM
06/13/16 11:29 AM
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 7,780
central ala,
C
centralala Offline
14 point
centralala  Offline
14 point
C
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 7,780
central ala,
Fun4all, I don't disagree with you but believe you are missing a BIG part of the equation: COYOTES!! I'm of the opinion they have hurt the deer population more than hunters. Or at least in my area anyway. They will kill a new born in short order even if they have just eaten. But this may not be the case where you are.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759821
06/13/16 02:21 PM
06/13/16 02:21 PM
Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 15,969
Elmore County
Frankie Online content
Old Mossy Horns
Frankie  Online Content
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Apr 2000
Posts: 15,969
Elmore County
Fun4all this is why counting dead deer is useless . many things can affect trends . if they are not taken into account it's worthless .

surveying hunters themselves is the way to go but what do i know .

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759847
06/13/16 02:45 PM
06/13/16 02:45 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline
14 point
bigt  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

That's were using my other resources will come in handy wink


Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Fun4all] #1759850
06/13/16 02:47 PM
06/13/16 02:47 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline
14 point
bigt  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
Originally Posted By: Fun4all
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


You realized that the deer herd Statewide was growing or stable until the highbrow QDMA management strategies were the management advantage, oops didn't mean to imply anything, management style became vogue. Now to listen to the noise no deer are being seen, renegades are slaughtering everything that is brown and now we need to change to the next highbrow management strategy du jour to correct the management plan that was instituted to solve the too many does and not enough giant magnormous elk antler pig bucks. So what will be next to solve the next problem that was created by the same government group that created the previous problem?? The circular stupidity of government feeds itself.

I am hopeful that with more data available to the State they will be able to avoid another major screw up like the two does a day for the whole season for the whole state for way too long.


Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: bigt] #1759851
06/13/16 02:49 PM
06/13/16 02:49 PM
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,632
Tuscaloosa Co.
N
N2TRKYS Offline
Booner
N2TRKYS  Offline
Booner
N
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,632
Tuscaloosa Co.
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

That's were using my other resources will come in handy wink


What are your other resources?


83% of all statistics are made up.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: centralala] #1759853
06/13/16 02:49 PM
06/13/16 02:49 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline
14 point
bigt  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
Originally Posted By: centralala
Fun4all, I don't disagree with you but believe you are missing a BIG part of the equation: COYOTES!! I'm of the opinion they have hurt the deer population more than hunters. Or at least in my area anyway. They will kill a new born in short order even if they have just eaten. But this may not be the case where you are.

I believe you are correct and hopefully with the added data the State will be able to recognize negative trends quicker....


Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: N2TRKYS] #1759854
06/13/16 02:50 PM
06/13/16 02:50 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline
14 point
bigt  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

That's were using my other resources will come in handy wink


What are your other resources?

Like I said I am not the biologist but I would look closely at all properties registered in our management program in that area, do localized deer censuses, survey local hunters and processors and ect.

Last edited by bigt; 06/13/16 02:54 PM.

Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: bigt] #1759856
06/13/16 02:53 PM
06/13/16 02:53 PM
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,632
Tuscaloosa Co.
N
N2TRKYS Offline
Booner
N2TRKYS  Offline
Booner
N
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,632
Tuscaloosa Co.
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

That's were using my other resources will come in handy wink


What are your other resources?



I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist?


83% of all statistics are made up.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: N2TRKYS] #1759860
06/13/16 02:57 PM
06/13/16 02:57 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline
14 point
bigt  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

That's were using my other resources will come in handy wink


What are your other resources?



I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist?

They may exist but without data pinpointing a specific area that may be having the problem I doubt the State has the personal to research the whole state in that specific manner....


Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759861
06/13/16 02:57 PM
06/13/16 02:57 PM
Joined: Dec 2015
Posts: 441
RustyShackleford Offline
4 point
RustyShackleford  Offline
4 point
Joined: Dec 2015
Posts: 441
Regardless of opinion of the gamecheck, there are numerous trends and data points that can be extracted from the current data collected. If I mis-speak, correct me.

If I remember correctly(its been 2+years since killing something in AL) it asked you for date of harvest, county, land ownership, sex of animal, and maybe antler pt count(can't remember). This information would also be tied to a license number.

These all combined with the temporal scale could show you harvest trends within not only a total season, but you could start to see trends in hunter success across the state as a season progresses. I'd be willing to bet you could map this data and basically "watch" the rut progress across the state.



I had more, but got distracted. If I remember I'll come back

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: bigt] #1759871
06/13/16 03:10 PM
06/13/16 03:10 PM
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,632
Tuscaloosa Co.
N
N2TRKYS Offline
Booner
N2TRKYS  Offline
Booner
N
Joined: Mar 2013
Posts: 14,632
Tuscaloosa Co.
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

That's were using my other resources will come in handy wink


What are your other resources?



I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist?

They may exist but without data pinpointing a specific area that may be having the problem I doubt the State has the personal to research the whole state in that specific manner....



I don't know. There's at least 2 guys on here that will and do come out to check specific areas all the time.


83% of all statistics are made up.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: Remington270] #1759944
06/13/16 03:52 PM
06/13/16 03:52 PM
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,421
A
Atoler Offline
14 point
Atoler  Offline
14 point
A
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,421
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.


There's all kinds of data you can draw from. Total kill numbers yes, sex of kills, yes, but also date of kill, hunter success by license, hunter success by sex, etc

I believe that year to year your avg hunter success will be just as telling as total harvest in a county. To simplify, if the avg entry by hunter, in Winston county is 1 buck, 3 does the first year, then 5 years later that has steadily decreased to .5 buck, 1 doe, it would be obvious there's a significant decrease in quantity, unless regulations changed.

That could also be very telling, when the season was broken down into sections, bow season, early gun, mid, late, whenever the rut is, etc. this would tell you whether the deer were there, and just being over pressured, disappearing later in the season.

Combine several years of total harvest, Buck/doe harvest ratio, avg success per participant, and when the deer were killed. If you can't paint a pretty accurate picture off that, then you aren't trying.

Re: Game Check Scenario [Re: N2TRKYS] #1759948
06/13/16 03:56 PM
06/13/16 03:56 PM
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,421
A
Atoler Offline
14 point
Atoler  Offline
14 point
A
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 8,421
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: N2TRKYS
Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: Remington270
Originally Posted By: bigt
I am no biologist but just from the numbers you gave I would say Dallas county was basically unchanged if you were to chart it out on an SPC chart but something was possibly causing a negative trend in Winston county. At which time I would use my resources to further investigate Winston county's deer herd and it's health instead of not knowing there may be a problem there until it was too late and would then have to take drastic measures to reverse..... with the data and a little more investigation I may find nothing or I may find I need to adjust something to stabilize or increase the deer population.


How do you know it's not just lower hunter participation? Licenses won't tell you where a person actually hunts.

That's were using my other resources will come in handy wink


What are your other resources?



I didn't see your response. What other resources are you referring to that don't already exist?

They may exist but without data pinpointing a specific area that may be having the problem I doubt the State has the personal to research the whole state in that specific manner....



I don't know. There's at least 2 guys on here that will and do come out to check specific areas all the time.


We both know the state is terrible at handling our tax dollars. Unfortunately, the people we have on this forum are the exception to the rule in hunting. Most of us will invest the time and energy to get state guys out there if we need to. If everybody was as obsessed as most of us, the state wouldn't be able to supply the personel to meet the demand. But, they could potentially focus on a few areas that were having problems.

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