Gonna be something to watch. I wouldn't be surprised to see the SPC issue a high risk area somewhere in the eastern part of the state.

The next update from the SPC is in 30 min. This one looks worse than yesterday. It's gonna kinda sneak up on us.

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I need a weather forecast for Mobile for tomorrow morning from 8:00 til noon. I'm driving down tonight.

Rain?
Storms?
What are the locals saying?

They're basically saying any strong storm that develops is likely to have a tornado with it.

Forecast is Thunderstorms Early to Late Morning with threat of Hail and Tornadoes.

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Warm air advection/LLJ related convection should form along the
northward-moving warm front early Wednesday morning across parts of
eastern MS, AL, and perhaps GA. This initial activity will pose a
threat for all severe hazards, including tornadoes along/south of
the front where surface-based convection will be more likely.
Additional supercell development appears likely within the broad
warm sector across the central Gulf Coast States, particularly
across AL into GA/SC Wednesday morning/afternoon as large-scale
ascent associated with the upper trough begins to overspread the
Southeast. Forecast soundings across this region suggest strong
tornadoes will be possible with any discrete storm that can form in
this environment, in addition to very large hail and damaging
straight-line winds. Severe probabilities have been
increased/expanded westward slightly in western AL/eastern MS with
latest model guidance showing convective development both Wednesday
morning and another round associated with the large-scale forcing
for ascent with the upper trough Wednesday afternoon ahead of the
cold front.

The one yesterday had much of south Alabama on the 4th(out of 5) highest risk. Not much other than a little high wind. It's a guessing game.

They closed calhoun county schools tomorrow.

Got a tower crew supposed to be coming to map a 750 footer tomorrow. I called them assuming they would want to reschedule due to weather. Guy said nope we're still gonna plan on climbing we'll be there at 8 am. More power to em.

I'm betting moderate risk in this SPC outlook will continue to shift NW and a high risk will be added in at some point.

I agree.. I think it'll shift NW as well

I'll take the rain.

High dollar guessing game. Whatever happens will happen no matter what the wather folk tell you. Be safe and cautious and you should be fine.

What is the time frame for N.AL in our area PRB?

First round early. 6-9 a.m. Mainly wind and hail threat. Afternoon round (2-7 roughly) will be highest severe threat.

What about Mobile & Northern Mobile County? Thanks......

If the atmosphere is able to recharge in the mid-day and early afternoon hours tomorrow, watch out. We'll have some early morning thunderstorms, a clearing, and then the bad stuff will be coming in the later afternoon, similar to the other bad weather events we've had in years past.

Hope for no sun tomorrow between the events.