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Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115250
04/10/24 08:16 PM
04/10/24 08:16 PM
Joined: Jul 2021
Posts: 3,191
North Al.
P
Paint Rock 00 Offline
10 point
Paint Rock 00  Offline
10 point
P
Joined: Jul 2021
Posts: 3,191
North Al.
20% question? 20% is forecasted a lot……Is the % 20 of the area their station is covering? Will get 20% where you are? 20% of the 24 hour period. Hard to adjust a outdoor schedule when I’m not sure if anybody knows
[Linked Image]
Yes rain in Huntsville area today. The80% chance was right it did rain 80% of the area no. 80% of Wednesday no. no rain since 5:30 am.
Tough job to have forecasting something that affects so many people’s lives.

Last edited by Paint Rock 00; 04/10/24 08:21 PM.
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115251
04/10/24 08:16 PM
04/10/24 08:16 PM
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,849
LASW
turkey247 Offline
12 point
turkey247  Offline
12 point
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 4,849
LASW
The fact that we knew it was going to do something 6/7 days ago - comes in pretty freaking handy. So - they had to refine it along the way - ok, no problem. Some folks need to be bottle fed every ounce of information I guess.

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115252
04/10/24 08:17 PM
04/10/24 08:17 PM
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 9,882
Mobile, AL
A
alhawk Offline
14 point
alhawk  Offline
14 point
A
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 9,882
Mobile, AL
I believe they hit more than they miss. There have been significant severe weather warnings up to a week in advance and lives have been saved. How did that work 20 years ago.

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115260
04/10/24 08:27 PM
04/10/24 08:27 PM
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 24,895
Buc-ee’s Beach Express
leroycnbucks Offline
Freak of Nature
leroycnbucks  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 24,895
Buc-ee’s Beach Express
A “ inaccurate forecast” is better than the not knowing anytime.


Proud Army and ALNG veteran
God Bless America!
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: trailertrash] #4115263
04/10/24 08:36 PM
04/10/24 08:36 PM
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 19,743
Pelham
B
Ben2 Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
Ben2  Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
B
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 19,743
Pelham
Originally Posted by trailertrash
Originally Posted by Ben2
Originally Posted by trailertrash
Try guessing the weather yourself and see how it works out for you.

I can look at a radar and get pretty close, could not be much worse than current system


Ok, without looking at a forecast what will the weather be tomorrow, 3 days from now and when do you see the next possibly bad storm set-up coming and will it be in the daylight or darkness? I'll wait... grin

Chance of rain in the morning, then windy and drier by afternoon. Sunny and windy on Friday, warmer sunny less wind by Saturday, next round of bad storms in 10 or so days would be my guess since it's spring

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115273
04/10/24 08:50 PM
04/10/24 08:50 PM
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 17,005
Madison
BowtechDan Offline
Old Mossy Horns
BowtechDan  Offline
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 17,005
Madison
Well, they love weather alert days and the attention. Some are legit and some ain't.


Nathan Carl Goff 19 Sept 2016 - 14 Jan 2017.
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115275
04/10/24 08:53 PM
04/10/24 08:53 PM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 52,008
Round ‘bout there
C
Clem Offline
Mildly Quirky
Clem  Offline
Mildly Quirky
C
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 52,008
Round ‘bout there

Weather is not 100% all the time.

Best thing to do is to just not watch or listen. Pretty easy.

If it's raining or a tornado hits or its 99 degrees, so be it. Just ignore the meterologists and weather reports.


"Hunting Politics are stupid!" - Farm Hunter

"Bible says you shouldn't put sugar in your cornbread." Dustin, 2013

"Best I can figure 97.365% of the general public is a paint chip eating, mouth breathing, certified dumbass." BCLC, 2020
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115319
04/10/24 10:19 PM
04/10/24 10:19 PM
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 740
Chelsea
Floorman1 Offline
4 point
Floorman1  Offline
4 point
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 740
Chelsea
[Linked Image]

This is what they must think sometimes.

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115328
04/10/24 11:07 PM
04/10/24 11:07 PM
Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 4,806
Heart of Dixie
Narrow Gap Offline
12 point
Narrow Gap  Offline
12 point
Joined: Aug 2006
Posts: 4,806
Heart of Dixie
I look at it as all of Us alive today are very fortunate to have weather forecasting technology and knowledge to predict forthcoming weather events. It was not to long ago that folks were sitting ducks when bad weather was upon them with little to no notice.


Duty, Honor, Country

Robert E. Lee
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Narrow Gap] #4115329
04/10/24 11:14 PM
04/10/24 11:14 PM
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 52,590
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
James Offline
Freak of Nature
James  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 52,590
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
Originally Posted by Narrow Gap
I look at it as all of Us alive today are very fortunate to have weather forecasting technology and knowledge to predict forthcoming weather events. It was not to long ago that folks were sitting ducks when bad weather was upon them with little to no notice.


Yup. Had an Ef1 drop down for just a short period about 10 miles from us, purty sure be few more confirmed after tomorrow. Hell probably gonna have spend about 2 to 3k repairing my driveway because of all heavy rains today smh. But could always be worse...


Do not regret growing older, it's a privilege denied to many!

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115341
04/11/24 04:08 AM
04/11/24 04:08 AM
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 22,743
Lickskillet, AL
Irishguy Offline
a.k.a. Dingle Johnson
Irishguy  Offline
a.k.a. Dingle Johnson
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 22,743
Lickskillet, AL
Originally Posted by Ben2
Yesterday forecast at 3:00pm: heavy rain in my area until 9 pm, rain stops at 3:30pm
Todays forcast at 12:30pm: rain and flooding from 3-9 pm rains lightly from 1 til 4pm
Couple weeks ago they called for rain all day and it never rained.
I do not understand how they can miss the timing of storms so often and sometimes completely.



I think that predicting the weather is a lot like predicting what women are going to do.

Have you ever tried that?

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115345
04/11/24 04:43 AM
04/11/24 04:43 AM
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 9,903
North Jackson
R
ridgestalker Offline
14 point
ridgestalker  Offline
14 point
R
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 9,903
North Jackson
I told someone the other day they seem to miss the weather more last three years than in past. I never cancel any hunting/fishing trips until I get and see. We didn’t get any rain yesterday. Supposed to be heavy winds last night and this morning and not even a breeze right now.


"The Heavens declare the glory of God;and the firmament sheweth his handiwork" Pslam 19:1
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115360
04/11/24 06:26 AM
04/11/24 06:26 AM
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 6,902
Tuscaloosa
Booger Offline
Picker
Booger  Offline
Picker
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 6,902
Tuscaloosa
Drama sells. We live in a drama driven society.


GO NOLES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Booger] #4115361
04/11/24 06:33 AM
04/11/24 06:33 AM
Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 2,203
Birmingham
7x57_Mauser Offline
8 point
7x57_Mauser  Offline
8 point
Joined: Nov 2017
Posts: 2,203
Birmingham
That's why in aviation we called them "weather guessers."

Originally Posted by Booger
Drama sells. We live in a drama driven society.


I also 100% agree with this. I saw a comparison of a weather forcecast: same location, same temperatures, etc. In the early 90s all the colors were non-threatening, now with the same temperature everything is red with little fire (hot) symbols. All part of the plan to scare the idots into submission.

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115380
04/11/24 07:16 AM
04/11/24 07:16 AM
Joined: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,282
louisiana
D
deerman24 Offline
10 point
deerman24  Offline
10 point
D
Joined: Aug 2013
Posts: 3,282
louisiana
local folks don't predict anything, all they do is get info from the national weather service and relay to you.

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: 7x57_Mauser] #4115381
04/11/24 07:21 AM
04/11/24 07:21 AM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,278
colbert county
cartervj Offline
Old Mossy Horns
cartervj  Offline
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,278
colbert county
Originally Posted by 7x57_Mauser
That's why in aviation we called them "weather guessers."

Originally Posted by Booger
Drama sells. We live in a drama driven society.


I also 100% agree with this. I saw a comparison of a weather forcecast: same location, same temperatures, etc. In the early 90s all the colors were non-threatening, now with the same temperature everything is red with little fire (hot) symbols. All part of the plan to scare the idots into submission.



Climate Change initiative being pushed


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115389
04/11/24 07:37 AM
04/11/24 07:37 AM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,478
Prattville Al.
C
capehorn24 Offline
10 point
capehorn24  Offline
10 point
C
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 2,478
Prattville Al.
The only thing predictable about the weather is the folks who are going to complain that they didn’t get the forecast that was predicted for the area so, we bit!,ing that we didn’t get an abundance amount of rain and the flooding that comes with it and a lot of wind damage, major power outages and trees falling on people’s homes! SMH

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115391
04/11/24 07:42 AM
04/11/24 07:42 AM
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 1,685
OAK MTN
HBWALKER14 Offline
8 point
HBWALKER14  Offline
8 point
Joined: Oct 2014
Posts: 1,685
OAK MTN
Idk either, but i wish i had a job making 250k a year being right maybe half the time at best and live in Shoal Creek like Spann does.


A BAD DAYS HUNTING OR FISHING IS BETTER THAN ANY DAY AT WORK
Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: HBWALKER14] #4115392
04/11/24 07:46 AM
04/11/24 07:46 AM
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 52,590
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
James Offline
Freak of Nature
James  Offline
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 52,590
Gee's Bend/At The Hog Pen
Originally Posted by HBWALKER14
Idk either, but i wish i had a job making 250k a year being right maybe half the time at best and live in Shoal Creek like Spann does.

Hell I'd like to be one of these NEW Doctor's that get paid the big bucks to just ask you so what do thinks wrong with ya? 🤦🏿‍♂️🤣🤣🤣🤣


Do not regret growing older, it's a privilege denied to many!

Re: How can the weather folks be wrong so often [Re: Ben2] #4115396
04/11/24 07:55 AM
04/11/24 07:55 AM
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,099
central alabama
J
JA Offline
pic perv
JA  Offline
pic perv
J
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,099
central alabama
My favorite weatherman expression: "the chance of severe weather is very, very low, but it's not zero"...

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