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Financing is Tightening #3900678
04/24/23 05:30 AM
04/24/23 05:30 AM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
cartervj Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
cartervj  Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/w...100-banks-not-one-will-provide-financing

Quote
“Credit started tightening six to nine months ago,” said the developer, a close friend, entrepreneur, with large residential projects across the nation. “It started with the money center banks,” he continued. “This pushed us to regional banks for our latest projects, but then SVB happened.” The market froze.

“The lender for our latest 30-story project in a tier-one city backed out, so we scrambled, and spoke with well over 100 banks. Not one will provide financing.” His firm is a leader in their market niche. A strong track record.


Quote
“We developed properties right through the 2008 cycle. What’s unfolding now is something else, new construction is going to hit the wall. The dramatic pace of interest rate increases has flipped everyone upside down,” he said, well positioned. “Happy to sit on vacant lots. I can be patient.”


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900684
04/24/23 05:56 AM
04/24/23 05:56 AM
Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 7,354
Lee County
R
RCHRR Offline
14 point
RCHRR  Offline
14 point
R
Joined: Oct 2000
Posts: 7,354
Lee County
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: RCHRR] #3900686
04/24/23 06:03 AM
04/24/23 06:03 AM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
cartervj Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
cartervj  Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
Originally Posted by RCHRR
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.



I agree, just trying to figure out the when and how bad


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: RCHRR] #3900697
04/24/23 06:49 AM
04/24/23 06:49 AM
Joined: Sep 2014
Posts: 8,153
Moundville, Al
SuperSpike Offline
40 Year Old Bowhunting Virgin
SuperSpike  Offline
40 Year Old Bowhunting Virgin
Joined: Sep 2014
Posts: 8,153
Moundville, Al
Originally Posted by RCHRR
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.

You are 100% correct. You’d think this country would’ve learned a thing or 3 from ‘08.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900701
04/24/23 06:58 AM
04/24/23 06:58 AM
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 1,615
Alabama
R
Red Fox Offline
8 point
Red Fox  Offline
8 point
R
Joined: Aug 2019
Posts: 1,615
Alabama
Most people in this country can even learn how to do basic math and writing, much less learn about financing.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900709
04/24/23 07:10 AM
04/24/23 07:10 AM
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 25,595
Tampa
B
Beer Belly Offline
Freak of Nature
Beer Belly  Offline
Freak of Nature
B
Joined: Oct 2001
Posts: 25,595
Tampa

Here is what is going to happen: They drove the price sky high. Black Rock and others that are "Too Big to Fail" continued purchasing. When is crashed, those businesses will be bailed out, and they will use that bail-out $$ to buy the home of individuals that have been foreclosed on due to the economy.


--------------
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Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900727
04/24/23 07:48 AM
04/24/23 07:48 AM
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 5,768
Henry county
coldtrail Offline
12 point
coldtrail  Offline
12 point
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 5,768
Henry county
If the housing market goes bottoms up I'm ready to buy.


"And the days that I keep my gratitude
Higher than my expectations
Well, I have really good days" Ray Wylie Hubbard
Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: RCHRR] #3900761
04/24/23 08:40 AM
04/24/23 08:40 AM
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 7,245
Meridianville
DryFire Offline
14 point
DryFire  Offline
14 point
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 7,245
Meridianville
Originally Posted by RCHRR
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.


Not just home buyers. I'm seen investors buy up entire blocks of new homes for rental properties.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: DryFire] #3900769
04/24/23 08:49 AM
04/24/23 08:49 AM
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 14,074
Some Marriott/Auburn
A
AU7MM08 Offline
Booner
AU7MM08  Offline
Booner
A
Joined: Jun 2015
Posts: 14,074
Some Marriott/Auburn
Originally Posted by DryFire
Originally Posted by RCHRR
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.


Not just home buyers. I'm seen investors buy up entire blocks of new homes for rental properties.


There are entire build to rent neighborhoods, some are even here in AL.
https://www.al.com/business/2022/09...erstead-a-build-to-rent-development.html

Though I would be confident that interest rates have really curtailed build to rent neighborhoods.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: coldtrail] #3900791
04/24/23 09:45 AM
04/24/23 09:45 AM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 21,806
USA
R
Remington270 Offline
Freak of Nature
Remington270  Offline
Freak of Nature
R
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 21,806
USA
Originally Posted by coldtrail
If the housing market goes bottoms up I'm ready to buy.


Housing and vehicles will keep going up. Inflation ain’t stopping.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: AU7MM08] #3900798
04/24/23 10:01 AM
04/24/23 10:01 AM
Joined: May 2013
Posts: 3,445
bham
C
crocker Offline
10 point
crocker  Offline
10 point
C
Joined: May 2013
Posts: 3,445
bham
Originally Posted by AU7MM08
Originally Posted by DryFire
Originally Posted by RCHRR
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.


Not just home buyers. I'm seen investors buy up entire blocks of new homes for rental properties.


There are entire build to rent neighborhoods, some are even here in AL.
https://www.al.com/business/2022/09...erstead-a-build-to-rent-development.html

Though I would be confident that interest rates have really curtailed build to rent neighborhoods.


We are doing drywall on multiple jobs like this around the country. Most of the are 300 plus houses…all rentals.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: Remington270] #3900799
04/24/23 10:07 AM
04/24/23 10:07 AM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
cartervj Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
cartervj  Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
Originally Posted by Remington270
Originally Posted by coldtrail
If the housing market goes bottoms up I'm ready to buy.


Housing and vehicles will keep going up. Inflation ain’t stopping.



It will when the economy hits the wall.


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900802
04/24/23 10:20 AM
04/24/23 10:20 AM
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,198
B'ham
Goatkiller Offline
14 point
Goatkiller  Offline
14 point
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 9,198
B'ham


Whatever happens.... the plan is to print more money. They don't know how to do anything else this is ALL they did under Obama... when the Country was stagnant for 8 years but the stock markets when up. That's all money printing.

We don't know where this ends or where this leads... The United States has never been in this position before. Other countries certainly have. It did not turn out well for any of them.


No government employees were harmed in the making of this mess.
Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900841
04/24/23 11:16 AM
04/24/23 11:16 AM
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 21,806
USA
R
Remington270 Offline
Freak of Nature
Remington270  Offline
Freak of Nature
R
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 21,806
USA
Originally Posted by cartervj
Originally Posted by Remington270
Originally Posted by coldtrail
If the housing market goes bottoms up I'm ready to buy.


Housing and vehicles will keep going up. Inflation ain’t stopping.



It will when the economy hits the wall.


I’m not sure that’s true. In the late 70’s the economy was pure trash and prices went to the moon. The money printing is only just beginning.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900887
04/24/23 12:34 PM
04/24/23 12:34 PM
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
cartervj Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
cartervj  Offline OP
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 19,166
colbert county
Yeah it’s worrisome for sure
It feels like 08 all over but different maybe.

Only thing internet about the 70s was dad working 2-3 jobs and gas for my go cart went form .28 to a dollar. We lost our seafood restaurant because of prices and lack of folks being able to afford to drive to work. So employees were non existent

Dang I’ve I’ve done talked myself into the 70s scenario loco


“Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and hell where they already have it.” ― Ronald Reagan
Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: cartervj] #3900966
04/24/23 03:30 PM
04/24/23 03:30 PM
Joined: Jun 2002
Posts: 1,109
Birmingham,AL
L
low wall Offline
6 point
low wall  Offline
6 point
L
Joined: Jun 2002
Posts: 1,109
Birmingham,AL
One of the guys developing several build to rent neighborhoods in the Birmingham area.....is one of the few large developers left standing after the '08 crunch.
My guess is, he'll be fine. He's got large institutional investors ready to buy as soon as he gets them complete. Just like a big apartment complex.


Used to be a lifeguard, until that blue kid got me fired.
Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: Beer Belly] #3900976
04/24/23 04:12 PM
04/24/23 04:12 PM
Joined: Jul 2020
Posts: 8,573
Chelsea
L
Lockjaw Offline
14 point
Lockjaw  Offline
14 point
L
Joined: Jul 2020
Posts: 8,573
Chelsea
Originally Posted by Beer Belly

Here is what is going to happen: They drove the price sky high. Black Rock and others that are "Too Big to Fail" continued purchasing. When is crashed, those businesses will be bailed out, and they will use that bail-out $$ to buy the home of individuals that have been foreclosed on due to the economy.


100%

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: crocker] #3900984
04/24/23 04:44 PM
04/24/23 04:44 PM
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 22,743
Lickskillet, AL
Irishguy Offline
a.k.a. Dingle Johnson
Irishguy  Offline
a.k.a. Dingle Johnson
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 22,743
Lickskillet, AL
Originally Posted by crocker
Originally Posted by AU7MM08
Originally Posted by DryFire
Originally Posted by RCHRR
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.


Not just home buyers. I'm seen investors buy up entire blocks of new homes for rental properties.


There are entire build to rent neighborhoods, some are even here in AL.
https://www.al.com/business/2022/09...erstead-a-build-to-rent-development.html

Though I would be confident that interest rates have really curtailed build to rent neighborhoods.


We are doing drywall on multiple jobs like this around the country. Most of the are 300 plus houses…all rentals.



The dream is dying for most folks.

We can have people living in homes that are paid off with no mortgage.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: AU7MM08] #3900987
04/24/23 04:48 PM
04/24/23 04:48 PM
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 2,964
Vinemont, Alabama
G
GoldenEagle Offline
10 point
GoldenEagle  Offline
10 point
G
Joined: May 2002
Posts: 2,964
Vinemont, Alabama
Originally Posted by AU7MM08
Originally Posted by DryFire
Originally Posted by RCHRR
It needs to hit the wall. 80% of these people buying these new homes can not afford them and will be upside down and under water before the next president is elected.


Not just home buyers. I'm seen investors buy up entire blocks of new homes for rental properties.


There are entire build to rent neighborhoods, some are even here in AL.
https://www.al.com/business/2022/09...erstead-a-build-to-rent-development.html

Though I would be confident that interest rates have really curtailed build to rent neighborhoods.


Yep. There is a big one on Hwy 278 East of Cullman. Big subdivision being built and most all are rentals.

Re: Financing is Tightening [Re: coldtrail] #3900992
04/24/23 04:55 PM
04/24/23 04:55 PM
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 14,361
ArmPit of the south
D
DeerNutz0U812_ Offline
Booner
DeerNutz0U812_  Offline
Booner
D
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 14,361
ArmPit of the south
Originally Posted by coldtrail
If the housing market goes bottoms up I'm ready to buy.
Just make sure your credit score is below 740 when you do...I hear that folks that have above 740 will have to start paying an extra percent and the ones that are lower will get a 1.75 percent reduction in their mortgage per obama-xidens bill ...You know...cause thats only fair... rolleyes Under the revised LLPA pricing structure, a home buyer with a 740 FICO credit score and a 15% to 20% down payment will face a 1% surcharge – an increase of 0.750% compared to the old fee of just 0.250%.

When absorbed into a long-term mortgage rate, the increase is the equivalent of slightly less than a quarter percentage point in mortgage rate. On a $400,000 loan with a 6% mortgage rate, that buyer could expect their monthly payment to rise by about $40, according to calculations by Stevens.

Meanwhile, buyers with credit scores of 679 or lower will have their fees slashed, resulting in more favorable mortgage rates. For example, a buyer with a 620 FICO credit score with a down payment of 5% or less gets a 1.75% fee discount – a decrease from the old fee rate of 3.50% for that bracket. Aint that a bitch... crazy


Did you know that Beer Nutz are over a Dollar...and Deer Nutz are under a Buck...


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