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Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2346202
12/27/17 10:50 AM
12/27/17 10:50 AM
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 24,898
Buc-ee’s Beach Express
leroycnbucks Offline
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Originally Posted By: bigt
Originally Posted By: leroycnbucks
Originally Posted By: centralala
This is gonna be long. Those who say the ones not reporting are the one wanting to kill more than 3 bucks is true but is far from the sole reason. I've never said I was for or against the 10 day extension in the north or GC. What I am and was against was the data used for the 10 day extension. They happened the same year. Why not implement GC, gather data, and then use it for or against the 10 extension. GC, if done correctly, should be at least considered in the decisions. Either the 10 extension was so important it couldn't wait on GC or GC really isn't that important in decesion making.
Then there is the leader you publically belittles landowners, military, special needs people, and senior citizens by essentially saying they are no better than a capable welfare recipient. True leaders can get the people to follow and the people will like it and then their are the ones that naturally just have a way of turning people off. He was the wrong guy to be pushing GC.
Next, is the goal. What is our goal and the plan to get there? Older deer? Bigger deer? More balanced herd? Not just "a healthier nerd?" That meaning could vary. Spell it out for the people.

So, we have a leader that targets certain groups that's going to piss most people whether you are a military supporter or a special needs supporter. He delivers a program for better data at the same time delivers a season extension contradicting the need for data. Everything done without a goal relayed to the hunters.

As I said, I'm not pro or anti GC. But from many conversations GC non compliance goes much deeper than just wanting to kill more than 3 bucks.



As you stated in the high lighted paragraph having an elitist attitude will never work with us common folk's that deer hunt our small tracts of land, in clubs or management areas. What gets our attention is a common sense approach that produces real results. Anybody with any hunting knowledge knows that what works in one area of the state doesn't in all of the state. Like extending the season to the tenth of February in North Alabama. That's what just doesn't make any sense at all and game check working at 30 % even shows that.

Honestly I do not believe Sykes has an elitist attitude rather just that of a wildlife biologist that was used to being hired by a landowner to manage the wildlife and if you wanted to hunt or lease said property you were going to do what he said to do. I think as time goes by he will learn the difference but it is good to have someone that actually has made his living prior to this job managing wildlife I think...


bigt I would agree with that on a personal level but as far as hunting I think he has. Chuck has managed property that us average hunters would only dream of hunting on. At times I think his way of managing the herd for the state has some of that influence.

Personally I always go back to this before game check.
-what was broke before they decided it needed fixin
-who decided it needed fixin
-what data did they use to try and fix it
-why wasn't more information taken from hunters when buying a hunting license about deer kills like migratory birds
-who thought that killing a doe a day was a good idea for the entire hunting season
-who provided that data


Proud Army and ALNG veteran
God Bless America!
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: mike35549] #2346232
12/27/17 11:16 AM
12/27/17 11:16 AM
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 3,494
Jefferson
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Fun4all Offline
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Fun4all  Offline
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Jefferson
Originally Posted By: mike35549
Is
Originally Posted By: Fun4all
Originally Posted By: mike35549
I vote we do away with GC, bag limits, and seasons on all game. Everybody can manage there property the way they want. For deer turkey bear hogs whatever. Everybody could hunt how they want when they want. I am sure the hunting would be better and a lot more enjoyable.


I believe the approach from the State should be as minimal as possible as far as regulations, laws and rules go. Leave the land management up to the land owners/controllers to institute (putting corn out during hunting season is not land management, or deer management in my opinion) more restrictive management as they see fit on their property. Yes, I know radical anarchist thoughts.


What I stated is as minimal as possible which is what you stated you are for. So you do want some rules as long as you agree with them. I think I am finally starting to understand. Except you are for restricting the way someone hunts on there property if they want to do it over corn or there bait of choice if they want to. Which is no diffrent than the food plot I am sitting on now it is just bait to draw in deer to kill. Maybe they have no where to plant a field or the equipment to plant it with but since you don't like it it should be illegal So as long as the rules and regulations fit your way of thinking they are good, Well sir I would say that makes you a hypocrite.


Nope you stated "I vote we do away with GC, bag limits, and seasons on all game." That sounds like none, which is not minimal!

Hunting is a sport, if a person has to pour corn out to keep from starving to death during hunting season, then so be it and he can explain it in front of a judge. Other than that learn the sport and play that way, cutting corners to boost an ego is just that.

Let's see anarchist and hypocrit, well played so blather on, blather on about wanting the government to force others to your way.

I did notice you didn't take note of the education part, so I guess that has no meaning, hmm.


"After all, it is not the killing that brings satisfaction; it is the contest of skill and cunning. The true hunter counts his achievement in proportion to the effort involved and the fairness of the sport." Dr. Saxton Pope
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: kanebreak] #2346294
12/27/17 11:51 AM
12/27/17 11:51 AM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 12,186
Sylacauga, AL
poorcountrypreacher Offline
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Originally Posted By: kanebreak
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: burbank
I’m still amazed at how many folks bitch about game check.



I'm still amazed at how many folks are ignoring GC.

I thought we would get 30-40% compliance the first year, and be running at least 50% by now. It's obviously not happening. I'm not sure what they can do to make it work.

Usually, when people won't comply with a government edict, the government tries some form of punishment. I would assume that will be the thing they try next, but it's just a guess.


What criteria did you use to make the statement "It's obviously not happening." ? The following are not my words, but sum it up pretty nicely I think. "“Obviously” is a purely destructive word. It’s commonly used when a new concept or idea is being built of pre-existing notions.


I'm not sure what your objective is with this question. Quoting some unnamed source who doesn't like the word "obviously" doesn't really interest me, and I don't wanna get into a debate about it.

I arrived at the conclusion that a large number of deer being killed in AL are going unreported by looking at the GC numbers found in this thread. They are not consistent with past results of the hunter survey done since the 60s. There isn't a soul alive who believes most of the deer are being reported.


All the labor of man is for his mouth, and yet the appetite is not filled.
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: poorcountrypreacher] #2346298
12/27/17 11:54 AM
12/27/17 11:54 AM
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 13,805
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burbank Offline
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And I don’t believe the surveys were accurate either.

I think the only way to know for sure is to go to a tagging system like Illinois has.

Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: kanebreak
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: burbank
I’m still amazed at how many folks bitch about game check.



I'm still amazed at how many folks are ignoring GC.

I thought we would get 30-40% compliance the first year, and be running at least 50% by now. It's obviously not happening. I'm not sure what they can do to make it work.

Usually, when people won't comply with a government edict, the government tries some form of punishment. I would assume that will be the thing they try next, but it's just a guess.


What criteria did you use to make the statement "It's obviously not happening." ? The following are not my words, but sum it up pretty nicely I think. "“Obviously” is a purely destructive word. It’s commonly used when a new concept or idea is being built of pre-existing notions.


I'm not sure what your objective is with this question. Quoting some unnamed source who doesn't like the word "obviously" doesn't really interest me, and I don't wanna get into a debate about it.

I arrived at the conclusion that a large number of deer being killed in AL are going unreported by looking at the GC numbers found in this thread. They are not consistent with past results of the hunter survey done since the 60s. There isn't a soul alive who believes most of the deer are being reported.

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: poorcountrypreacher] #2346306
12/27/17 12:00 PM
12/27/17 12:00 PM
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 7,780
central ala,
C
centralala Online crying
14 point
centralala  Online Crying
14 point
C
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 7,780
central ala,
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: kanebreak
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: burbank
I’m still amazed at how many folks bitch about game check.



I'm still amazed at how many folks are ignoring GC.

I thought we would get 30-40% compliance the first year, and be running at least 50% by now. It's obviously not happening. I'm not sure what they can do to make it work.

Usually, when people won't comply with a government edict, the government tries some form of punishment. I would assume that will be the thing they try next, but it's just a guess.


What criteria did you use to make the statement "It's obviously not happening." ? The following are not my words, but sum it up pretty nicely I think. "“Obviously” is a purely destructive word. It’s commonly used when a new concept or idea is being built of pre-existing notions.


I'm not sure what your objective is with this question. Quoting some unnamed source who doesn't like the word "obviously" doesn't really interest me, and I don't wanna get into a debate about it.

I arrived at the conclusion that a large number of deer being killed in AL are going unreported by looking at the GC numbers found in this thread. They are not consistent with past results of the hunter survey done since the 60s. There isn't a soul alive who believes most of the deer are being reported.


Survey since the 60's? Really? I had no idea. I would have guessed it started in the 80's.

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2346473
12/27/17 02:28 PM
12/27/17 02:28 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline OP
14 point
bigt  Offline OP
14 point
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Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
We are now up to 34081 deer killed.


Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2346492
12/27/17 02:37 PM
12/27/17 02:37 PM
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 7,780
central ala,
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centralala Online crying
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centralala  Online Crying
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Posts: 7,780
central ala,
Originally Posted By: bigt
We are now up to 34081 deer killed.


But what was the number on this date last year? Are we ahead, behind, or the same?

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: centralala] #2346520
12/27/17 02:51 PM
12/27/17 02:51 PM
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
bigt Offline OP
14 point
bigt  Offline OP
14 point
Joined: Jun 2004
Posts: 8,377
Gulfcrest
Originally Posted By: centralala
Originally Posted By: bigt
We are now up to 34081 deer killed.


But what was the number on this date last year? Are we ahead, behind, or the same?

That would be good to know maybe one of the State guys could fill us in on that because do see that on the site.


Life is too short to be small !!

http://crshuntingclub.webs.com/
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: burbank] #2346576
12/27/17 03:25 PM
12/27/17 03:25 PM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 12,186
Sylacauga, AL
poorcountrypreacher Offline
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poorcountrypreacher  Offline
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Posts: 12,186
Sylacauga, AL
Originally Posted By: burbank
And I don’t believe the surveys were accurate either.

I think the only way to know for sure is to go to a tagging system like Illinois has.

Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: kanebreak
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: burbank
I’m still amazed at how many folks bitch about game check.



I'm still amazed at how many folks are ignoring GC.

I thought we would get 30-40% compliance the first year, and be running at least 50% by now. It's obviously not happening. I'm not sure what they can do to make it work.

Usually, when people won't comply with a government edict, the government tries some form of punishment. I would assume that will be the thing they try next, but it's just a guess.


What criteria did you use to make the statement "It's obviously not happening." ? The following are not my words, but sum it up pretty nicely I think. "“Obviously” is a purely destructive word. It’s commonly used when a new concept or idea is being built of pre-existing notions.


I'm not sure what your objective is with this question. Quoting some unnamed source who doesn't like the word "obviously" doesn't really interest me, and I don't wanna get into a debate about it.

I arrived at the conclusion that a large number of deer being killed in AL are going unreported by looking at the GC numbers found in this thread. They are not consistent with past results of the hunter survey done since the 60s. There isn't a soul alive who believes most of the deer are being reported.


You have often said the surveys were not accurate, but I can't remember you ever explaining why. Care to tell us what they did wrong? I'm not sure you were on here back when Dr. Ditchkoff was a regular poster in this forum, but he defended their accuracy on several occasions. I remember that he finally convinced Outback that they could be trusted, within the standard error, of course.

If we went to a real tag system, why do you think hunters would comply? The people in IL are very different from the people in AL. And for a tagging system to provide more accurate information than a scientifically done random survey you would need close to 100% participation.


All the labor of man is for his mouth, and yet the appetite is not filled.
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2346663
12/27/17 04:12 PM
12/27/17 04:12 PM
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 13,805
Hoover
burbank Offline
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burbank  Offline
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PCP,

I don’t think they are accurate for the same reason you don’t think a tagging system would work...it’s Alabama.

1. They only go to people that purchase a license.
2. I assume the response rate is low.

It’s just nonsense.

A tag system WOULD work, but the state would need to put some real teeth to it.

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: poorcountrypreacher] #2346684
12/27/17 04:21 PM
12/27/17 04:21 PM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 157
AL, Chambers
K
kanebreak Offline
3 point
kanebreak  Offline
3 point
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Posts: 157
AL, Chambers
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: kanebreak
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: burbank
I’m still amazed at how many folks bitch about game check.



I'm still amazed at how many folks are ignoring GC.

I thought we would get 30-40% compliance the first year, and be running at least 50% by now. It's obviously not happening. I'm not sure what they can do to make it work.

Usually, when people won't comply with a government edict, the government tries some form of punishment. I would assume that will be the thing they try next, but it's just a guess.


What criteria did you use to make the statement "It's obviously not happening." ? The following are not my words, but sum it up pretty nicely I think. "“Obviously” is a purely destructive word. It’s commonly used when a new concept or idea is being built of pre-existing notions.


I'm not sure what your objective is with this question. Quoting some unnamed source who doesn't like the word "obviously" doesn't really interest me, and I don't wanna get into a debate about it.

I arrived at the conclusion that a large number of deer being killed in AL are going unreported by looking at the GC numbers found in this thread. They are not consistent with past results of the hunter survey done since the 60s. There isn't a soul alive who believes most of the deer are being reported.

Last time I checked, my soul still counts. I guess "my objective" is to try to see if there is anyone out there that thinks as I do. Doesn't really matter I guess if I am the only idot that thinks this way, but until DCNR can show some data that I can trust, I will remain the only skeptic in the state. That being said, my opinion is that you nor I know if it is being under-reported or being reported at a much higher rate than you and all the other souls believe. I could just agree with you so that we could both be wrong if you like. I only used my "source", because it probably more eloquently said what I was thinking than I could have. I really don't want to come across as argumentative and if I did, I apologize. I am a skeptic by nature and if the hunter survey was so great and accurate to begin with, then why do we now have game check.

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: ikillbux] #2346727
12/27/17 04:40 PM
12/27/17 04:40 PM
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 3,867
Shelby County
BassCat Offline
10 point
BassCat  Offline
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Posts: 3,867
Shelby County
Originally Posted By: ikillbux
I'll always say this every chance I get when this topic is presented:

Percentage-wise, virtually nobody is reporting (I'd guess 5% to 15% "maybe"), and even though this will sound contradictory, I think the deer herd is in grave danger. Nowhere that I hunt has even remotely as many deer as it used to. My overall Alabama hunting experience these days is very close to causing me to lose interest. The return on investment isn't worth it anymore. And I don't really think the harvest regs are the problem, not even the liberal doe limits. I think it is the astronomical explosion in the number of hunters, combined with coyotes.




I agree the return on investment is not there but it hasn’t been since companies started leasing the property and stopped selling permits for $15 to hunt 50,000 acres and you hardly saw another hunter. I also agree I’ve almost lost interest in hunting too. I wasn’t going to Deer hunt at all this year and wouldn’t had I not been asked to join the club I’m in. The Deer sightings have gone down in certain areas across the state but for some they see plenty.

No one knows the answer for our Deer population and bag limits but it is what it is and the ones who control it are us hunters. Read the reply’s to this post, look how many people know people that kill way over the limits on bucks and there ain’t no telling how many does get killed with the limit of one a day. I’ve heard of people killing 15 Deer by themselves. That’s freaking ridiculous!!!

I hunt mature 3.5 yr old bucks because that is what I want and killing a buck to cut of his rack and throw it in a box for bugs to eat just doesn’t excite me. I killed a hog on the 26th and dropped it off at the processor and there men from 40-65yrs old dropping off spikes, 4pts, and a couple perfect racked 8pts that wouldn’t go 60” of rack. Does that bother me? Yes. Is it their right to kill those 1-2 yr old Deer? Yes. I’ve killed 2 does with my bow this year and last year and no bucks. This year I’ve seen 8-10 does, a spike, half racked buck and a young 3yr old 8pt I let walk. So my point is hunters are what is going to control our Deer herd no matter what the laws are. I don’t need a law to tell me how the population is on my property. To change the population you gotta change hunters!!

Last edited by BassCat; 12/27/17 04:45 PM.

If you claim to be a Christian then why do you act like the devil? You will be known by the fruit you bear!
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2346745
12/27/17 04:50 PM
12/27/17 04:50 PM
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 52,008
Round ‘bout there
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Clem Offline
Mildly Quirky
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C
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Posts: 52,008
Round ‘bout there


Up to 34,252 now. Brown's hitting the ground this week:

https://game.dcnr.alabama.gov/Report/County/Deer


"Hunting Politics are stupid!" - Farm Hunter

"Bible says you shouldn't put sugar in your cornbread." Dustin, 2013

"Best I can figure 97.365% of the general public is a paint chip eating, mouth breathing, certified dumbass." BCLC, 2020
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: burbank] #2346840
12/27/17 05:59 PM
12/27/17 05:59 PM
Joined: Feb 2003
Posts: 12,186
Sylacauga, AL
poorcountrypreacher Offline
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poorcountrypreacher  Offline
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Sylacauga, AL
Originally Posted By: burbank
PCP,

I don’t think they are accurate for the same reason you don’t think a tagging system would work...it’s Alabama.

1. They only go to people that purchase a license.
2. I assume the response rate is low.

It’s just nonsense.

A tag system WOULD work, but the state would need to put some real teeth to it.


Well, I can't blame you for being skeptical, but I do have more confidence in our people at Auburn and the dcnr who produced these reports every year since 1963. I think there are lots of folks like the older gentleman that Goatkiller mentioned above out hunting in the state, but I've never seen any reason to doubt the work of the teams who produced the survey reports. There have been literally hundreds of people who worked on them over the years. I wouldn't mind at all calling them out if I thought they had done something wrong or had some sort of agenda, but I've never seen any evidence of that. They got 42.9% back on the year I linked, and that's an excellent return rate for a mail survey. I see no reason to call it nonsense.

There might be some difference in harvest numbers between those who returned the survey and those who didn't, but the wonderful thing about it was that we had data all the way back to the 60s, and whatever differences there were between the 2 groups would very likely have been similar year after year. That made it a great tool for understanding trends, and IMHO, that is all they need to know for setting seasons and limits. The exact number of deer killed in the state is unknowable and unimportant. The trend is what the dcnr needs to know.

Here is a link to the oldest one they still have on the website:

http://www.outdooralabama.com/sites/defa...il%20Survey.pdf

The reports always included their methodology, and even included a short statistics lesson to help the average hunter understand what the numbers show, and also tried to explain the limitations of the study. I've never seen any reason to doubt that the studies were not within the standard error. Dr. Ditchkoff was very adamant that they were, and I have always respected his work.

Another reason I thought the reports were accurate within the standard error is that the numbers went along with what I was seeing and hearing. When we had a bad year turkey hunting, the reports reflected it. When we had good years, they reflected that. When the buck limit started in 2007, you see a drastic reduction in the number of bucks killed. I've never seen numbers reported that just seemed way off. The GC numbers seem way off.

Some folks have used the last presidential election to try to prove that random sampling doesn't work, but that's not what I take from the past election. Hillary did win the popular vote; Trump won because polling numbers for the Rust Belt were a few points off in many polls, and he carried states the polls didn't predict that he would carry. But in most cases, all that meant was a shift of 2-3% of the voters. A shift like that is a game changer in an election, but it wouldn't really matter when setting deer seasons.

The dcnr survey report I linked said that data "Estimates with a percentage standard error less than 15% are reliable enough to be useful in making management decisions." I agree with them.

Its all a moot point now, so I will drop it. The hunter survey is dead, but GC lives. smile

Good hunting to all!


All the labor of man is for his mouth, and yet the appetite is not filled.
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: poorcountrypreacher] #2346863
12/27/17 06:21 PM
12/27/17 06:21 PM
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 157
AL, Chambers
K
kanebreak Offline
3 point
kanebreak  Offline
3 point
K
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 157
AL, Chambers
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: burbank
PCP,

I don’t think they are accurate for the same reason you don’t think a tagging system would work...it’s Alabama.

1. They only go to people that purchase a license.
2. I assume the response rate is low.

It’s just nonsense.

A tag system WOULD work, but the state would need to put some real teeth to it.


Well, I can't blame you for being skeptical, but I do have more confidence in our people at Auburn and the dcnr who produced these reports every year since 1963. I think there are lots of folks like the older gentleman that Goatkiller mentioned above out hunting in the state, but I've never seen any reason to doubt the work of the teams who produced the survey reports. There have been literally hundreds of people who worked on them over the years. I wouldn't mind at all calling them out if I thought they had done something wrong or had some sort of agenda, but I've never seen any evidence of that. They got 42.9% back on the year I linked, and that's an excellent return rate for a mail survey. I see no reason to call it nonsense.

There might be some difference in harvest numbers between those who returned the survey and those who didn't, but the wonderful thing about it was that we had data all the way back to the 60s, and whatever differences there were between the 2 groups would very likely have been similar year after year. That made it a great tool for understanding trends, and IMHO, that is all they need to know for setting seasons and limits. The exact number of deer killed in the state is unknowable and unimportant. The trend is what the dcnr needs to know.

Here is a link to the oldest one they still have on the website:

http://www.outdooralabama.com/sites/defa...il%20Survey.pdf

The reports always included their methodology, and even included a short statistics lesson to help the average hunter understand what the numbers show, and also tried to explain the limitations of the study. I've never seen any reason to doubt that the studies were not within the standard error. Dr. Ditchkoff was very adamant that they were, and I have always respected his work.

Another reason I thought the reports were accurate within the standard error is that the numbers went along with what I was seeing and hearing. When we had a bad year turkey hunting, the reports reflected it. When we had good years, they reflected that. When the buck limit started in 2007, you see a drastic reduction in the number of bucks killed. I've never seen numbers reported that just seemed way off. The GC numbers seem way off.

Some folks have used the last presidential election to try to prove that random sampling doesn't work, but that's not what I take from the past election. Hillary did win the popular vote; Trump won because polling numbers for the Rust Belt were a few points off in many polls, and he carried states the polls didn't predict that he would carry. But in most cases, all that meant was a shift of 2-3% of the voters. A shift like that is a game changer in an election, but it wouldn't really matter when setting deer seasons.

The dcnr survey report I linked said that data "Estimates with a percentage standard error less than 15% are reliable enough to be useful in making management decisions." I agree with them.

Its all a moot point now, so I will drop it. The hunter survey is dead, but GC lives. smile

Good hunting to all!


This is the kind of information I am looking for. I guess before I come on here and maybe rub some people the wrong way I should look for more of this stuff. Or maybe, the DCNR should do a better job of trying educate the hunting public of things like you mentioned. I am in IT, and I think that in order to be successful in most endeavors, getting your target to buy in or be invested in the project at hand should be one of your top priorities. I understand that not all people are open to being educated on a subject but I like having all the info to help me form my opinion. I am still not on board with agreeing with the stated numbers at this point, but I certainly understand why you have drawn the conclusions that you have. My wish is for there to be 100% compliance and for good decisions to be made based off of that.

Edit: After typing this, I read some of the thread "We Need Direction" also in the Serious forum. Seems as though I am not the only one who thinks that the opportunity to present step #1 was missed or presented poorly.

Last edited by kanebreak; 12/27/17 06:29 PM.
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2347234
12/28/17 06:13 AM
12/28/17 06:13 AM
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 75
Shelby County
S
SkiTar Offline
spike
SkiTar  Offline
spike
S
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 75
Shelby County
In my observation, the people who are most against any new regulations that further limit the number of deer that any one hunter can legally harvest are the same people who are refusing to participate in the GC harvest reporting. I assume this refusal to participate is in protest. However, it is this very under reporting which provides the state with the data they need to convince law makers that the deer heard is in bad shape and in need of further bag limit restrictions. I may be wrong but the massive under reporting by Alabama hunters is going to eventually screw us all.

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2347253
12/28/17 06:25 AM
12/28/17 06:25 AM

S
sgtred
Unregistered
sgtred
Unregistered
S


Law makers don't set seasons or bag limits

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: bigt] #2347325
12/28/17 07:17 AM
12/28/17 07:17 AM
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 3,287
Hartselle, AL
N
NWALJM Offline
10 point
NWALJM  Offline
10 point
N
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 3,287
Hartselle, AL
TN Estimated Deer Herd = 700,000
TN Harvest Total 2017 YTD = 125,000

AL Estimated Deer Herd = 1,500,000
AL Game Check "Total" = 35,000

Marinate on that for a while.

Re: Game check stats to date [Re: SkiTar] #2347556
12/28/17 11:54 AM
12/28/17 11:54 AM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,867
dothan
eskimo270 Offline
10 point
eskimo270  Offline
10 point
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,867
dothan

Originally Posted By: SkiTar
In my observation, the people who are most against any new regulations that further limit the number of deer that any one hunter can legally harvest are the same people who are refusing to participate in the GC harvest reporting. I assume this refusal to participate is in protest. However, it is this very under reporting which provides the state with the data they need to convince law makers that the deer heard is in bad shape and in need of further bag limit restrictions. I may be wrong but the massive under reporting by Alabama hunters is going to eventually screw us all.
you are wrong, I am absolutely opposed to any stricter changes to the current buck limit but participate in the gc


Super Predator
Re: Game check stats to date [Re: kanebreak] #2347575
12/28/17 12:13 PM
12/28/17 12:13 PM
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,867
dothan
eskimo270 Offline
10 point
eskimo270  Offline
10 point
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,867
dothan
Originally Posted By: kanebreak
Originally Posted By: poorcountrypreacher
Originally Posted By: burbank
PCP,

I don’t think they are accurate for the same reason you don’t think a tagging system would work...it’s Alabama.

1. They only go to people that purchase a license.
2. I assume the response rate is low.

It’s just nonsense.

A tag system WOULD work, but the state would need to put some real teeth to it.


Well, I can't blame you for being skeptical, but I do have more confidence in our people at Auburn and the dcnr who produced these reports every year since 1963. I think there are lots of folks like the older gentleman that Goatkiller mentioned above out hunting in the state, but I've never seen any reason to doubt the work of the teams who produced the survey reports. There have been literally hundreds of people who worked on them over the years. I wouldn't mind at all calling them out if I thought they had done something wrong or had some sort of agenda, but I've never seen any evidence of that. They got 42.9% back on the year I linked, and that's an excellent return rate for a mail survey. I see no reason to call it nonsense.

There might be some difference in harvest numbers between those who returned the survey and those who didn't, but the wonderful thing about it was that we had data all the way back to the 60s, and whatever differences there were between the 2 groups would very likely have been similar year after year. That made it a great tool for understanding trends, and IMHO, that is all they need to know for setting seasons and limits. The exact number of deer killed in the state is unknowable and unimportant. The trend is what the dcnr needs to know.

Here is a link to the oldest one they still have on the website:

http://www.outdooralabama.com/sites/defa...il%20Survey.pdf

The reports always included their methodology, and even included a short statistics lesson to help the average hunter understand what the numbers show, and also tried to explain the limitations of the study. I've never seen any reason to doubt that the studies were not within the standard error. Dr. Ditchkoff was very adamant that they were, and I have always respected his work.

Another reason I thought the reports were accurate within the standard error is that the numbers went along with what I was seeing and hearing. When we had a bad year turkey hunting, the reports reflected it. When we had good years, they reflected that. When the buck limit started in 2007, you see a drastic reduction in the number of bucks killed. I've never seen numbers reported that just seemed way off. The GC numbers seem way off.

Some folks have used the last presidential election to try to prove that random sampling doesn't work, but that's not what I take from the past election. Hillary did win the popular vote; Trump won because polling numbers for the Rust Belt were a few points off in many polls, and he carried states the polls didn't predict that he would carry. But in most cases, all that meant was a shift of 2-3% of the voters. A shift like that is a game changer in an election, but it wouldn't really matter when setting deer seasons.

The dcnr survey report I linked said that data "Estimates with a percentage standard error less than 15% are reliable enough to be useful in making management decisions." I agree with them.

Its all a moot point now, so I will drop it. The hunter survey is dead, but GC lives. smile

Good hunting to all!

[color:#FF0000][/color]
This is the kind of information I am looking for. I guess before I come on here and maybe rub some people the wrong way I should look for more of this stuff. Or maybe, the DCNR should do a better job of trying educate the hunting public of things like you mentioned. I am in IT, and I think that in order to be successful in most endeavors, getting your target to buy in or be invested in the project at hand should be one of your top priorities. I understand that not all people are open to being educated on a subject but I like having all the info to help me form my opinion. I am still not on board with agreeing with the stated numbers at this point, but I certainly understand why you have drawn the conclusions that you have. My wish is for there to be 100% compliance and for good decisions to be made based off of that.

Edit: After typing this, I read some of the thread "We Need Direction" also in the Serious forum. Seems as though I am not the only one who thinks that the opportunity to present step #1 was missed or presented poorly.
IMO, there has been a massive shift in the way that the aldcnr leadership incorporates changes that they would like to see. Up until about 10 years ago, they chose to educate and inform hunters of what was best for the deer herd and hunters alike and we can see the positive effects of there methods in areas such as the buck harvest. Did you know that before the 3 buck limit that it was estimated that the average buck killed per hunter was about 1.47? This was in large part due to the education of interested hunters by the aldcnr. Of course this method is slower like trying to turn around an aircraft carrier but it has been effective. The last 10 years the leadership has done what they think needs to be done and never mind if no one is following.


Super Predator
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