The game is being played in AU. +3 points for the Tigers.
Alabama has their 3rd consecutive BCS Championship at stake. Everything to lose and nothing to gain. -7 points for Bama.
If AU wins out they will still not likely make it to the big dance. AU has nothing to lose and everything to gain. +7 points for AU
Line is Bama -12 so if you take the 10 I gave AU and subtract the 7 I took from Bama, I say AU by 5.
That sounds great but all that other stuff is figured in when they set the line.