So if you take each county individually and graph their long term trend lines on paper then patterns emerge…….I suspect its due to the heavy influence of acorns in the big hardwood dominated areas and the way the larger deer herd as a whole concentrates and spreads out……concentrates……spread outs……over and over that creates a pattern of alternating years of large up down swings in the harvest pattern of many of the northern and eastern counties……Jackson Co for example has a trend that’s something to the effect of…..
3000…….2200…..3300……2400…..3500……2000
……big back and forth swings like above from year to year……So now for many of the counties in north Alabama that have this trend line pattern this was already in line to be a down year….Not only that but the long term trend line had also been trending upward for many of these counties just like the numbers above are doing……So unless that county has a growing deer herd to support the extra harvest then you would also expect that the “down” year was eventually going to drop pretty heavy due to that upward trend being that we were thinning the herd out……
That’s why I think much of north Alabama has the down numbers you see……..a thinned out herd in many areas combined with a bumper acorn crop …….Now West Alabama and Southeast Bama also have their own trend patterns……and really a few counties kinda in the middle that kinda don’t fit in any of the other three groups......Maybe we'll save those for tomorrow morning over some coffee
Last edited by CNC; 02/03/26 10:36 PM.
