Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by abolt300
Nope CNC, you're just doing your normal thing and ignoring anything that doesnt match what you think, or in most cases, haven't thought about at all, due to your bias and tunnel vision. The week in question that relates to the statement above was the week from 1/5 -1/11. You conveniently didnt produce any charts covering that week. Instead, you waited 9 days after that week ended (9 days with pretty good weather too) to produce the new chart showing a big increase in kills. Lots has happened since the 11th in the southern part of the state. The weather was decent all that following week and weekend and after the crappy week before, lots of hunters hit the woods hard. The rut has now kicked off in most of the southern part of the state and deer are moving good. You just waited until you had 16 days of additional kills to make the new chart so that the change looked more impressive. Correcting your games and gaslighting gets monotonous at times but it's always fun. It's pretty much the same situation where you first attempted to show that the weather was the same for the second weekend of Jan, the previous year, and that got debunked in about 20 seconds using your own link that you provided. So, with the kills way up in the southern part of the state, are we going to run out of deer in the southern part of the state this weekend, or will we still have a few for the final kill off to occur the last weekend of January?

No idea what you’re talking about…….There have been weekly updates since the first of the season……There were updates on 12/30……1/6…….1/13……and now 1/20
I missed your 1/13 update. Went back and found it at the bottom of a page. Thank you for bringing it to my attention. It proved exactly mine and other's point about the weather. Kills in most of the southern part of the state should've jumped up sharply the week ending 1/13, with the rut starting to kick off, but instead of jumping up, they stayed flat due to the weather not being conducive to killing deer or hunting. The numbers for that week pretty much reflected the same amount that they were already behind, year to date, from your 1/6 chart. We got some good weather the following week, for the week ending 1/20, and all of a sudden a ton of deer start hitting the ground. Here's a snapshot of the SW counties buck harvest comparison by week proving my point.
County 1/6 1/13 1/20
Wilcox -5 -4 +7
Marengo -1 -6 -16 I think there is some bad data in your chart on this one
Choctaw -5 -4 -5
Clarke -17 -7 +2 Probably bad data again on the 1/6 chart
Washington -13 -12 -5
Mobile -4 -2 +3
Baldwin -4 -3 +6
Escambia -1 -4 +4
Monroe -5 -7 +9
Conecuh -1 -7 +9

See how it works? 1/6 all those counties were behind on buck harvest, mostly due to the acorn crop issue and less bucks being killed earlier in the season, and the rut had not kicked off. Things really start to pick up and bucks start walking hard and are very visible and in turn, killable in all these SW counties starting the second week in January. The rule of thumb is from Jan 10th on. Bad weather that entire second week and especially that second weekend, and low and behold, not many are killed (when they normally would have been) so numbers didnt move much in either direction and in some cases actually fell further behind. Some were killed, because they were available and still doing their thing and the hard core guys that got out and braved the rain and weather, saw them moving, and killed some. Next week, week ending 1/20 had some clear cooler weather and look at what happened. A portion of that big jump should've occurred that previous weekend. Instead, it did not. If it wasnt the weather, the food hasnt changed since everything is already on the ground, the only other reason that it could be, is that the rut must have kicked off later this year. But alas, that theory doesnt hold water because we know from fetal studies that the rut happens at the same time every year, regardless of the weather. So if the weather did not impact the number of hunters in the woods and thus the harvest numbers, how do you explain what your chart shows. You'll see the same thing happen again this weekend with rain predicted from Wed through Sunday in these same counties. Then next week with cold clear weather, you'll see the harvest numbers jump back up. It's not rocket science, it's human nature. People are lazy by nature and dont like to be uncomfortable or inconvenienced. If the bad weather had occurred mid week, that second week, instead of on the weekend when most people actually hunt, you'd have seen substantially higher harvest numbers on your 1/13 update. Simple as I can make it.

Last edited by abolt300; 01/20/26 04:48 PM.