JR Holmes Oil Company </a </a Shark Guard REST NEST MATTRESS Mayer Insurance Services LLC
Serious Deer Talk
New SOAs?
by Beadlescomb - 08/25/26 10:50 PM
Cattle for deer habitat improvement
by desertdog - 08/25/26 10:48 PM
First fawn!
by ford150man - 08/24/26 06:58 PM
what deer see
by Frankie - 08/24/26 03:45 PM
Leafy suit ground hunting
by murf205 - 08/24/26 02:23 PM
LOGIN to view CLASSIFIEDS
Land, Leases, Hunting Clubs
Winston County club taking 2 members
by FreeStateHunter - 08/19/26 12:22 PM
NWA Hunt Club in Vernon/Sulligent area
by ScoutsOut - 08/18/26 07:54 AM
2 Spots Open Perry Co Club
by rja - 08/16/26 03:40 PM
Any clubs around Auburn looking for members
by Brady45 - 08/10/26 07:42 PM
Looking for a Club or Lease
by Turkeyhunter12 - 07/31/26 12:18 PM
August
S M T W T F S
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18 19 20 21 22
23 24 25 26 27 28 29
30 31
Who's Online Now
15 members (BrandonClark, James, BamaGuitarDude, cullmanbamafan, odocoileus, RCHRR, BAR1225, 7short, TexasHuntress, WINMAG300, russellb, 4 invisible), 645 guests, and 0 robots.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Page 3 of 3 1 2 3
CNC #4384955 12/08/25 07:59 PM
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 10,972
Likes: 190
Fancy
Fancy
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 10,972
Likes: 190
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by CNC
Well if we started out with 26,000 does and removed 4,000 through harvest and another 2,000 due to other causes…….that would leave us 20,000 does……..If those have 1.2 fawns each and half survive…..that’s 12,000 fawns…….half of those are does…..add that back and we get 26,000 does again.....I think we're getting closer now

I bet I'm low on that 1.2 fawn per doe rate I'm using......In a healthy population it's probably closer to 1.4 or better.......Correct?


I wonder what the true rate is for other causes of adult doe mortality.....Half of harvest is probably pretty high
Real good is 1.4-1.7

I start getting a little concerned if there’s a repeated pattern or trend multiple years of less than 1.25.

That can be hard to obtain an accurate estimate on observations alone, because most 1 year old does were not bred as fawns, yet appear as adults during the open season. They should be excluded from the estimate entirely.

Mbrock #4384979 12/08/25 08:38 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,071
Likes: 83
CNC Offline
Dances With Weeds
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,071
Likes: 83
Originally Posted by Mbrock
Originally Posted by CNC
I bet I'm low on that 1.2 fawn per doe rate I'm using......In a healthy population it's probably closer to 1.4 or better.......Correct?


Real good is 1.4-1.7


Let’s refigger it then with 1.5 fawns per doe and a little less natural adult doe mortality…..I think 50% fawn mortality is probably a pretty good ball park figure to use around here

So now if we start with 18,000 does and take out 4,000 through harvest and another 1,000 due to other causes…….that would leave us 13,000 does……..If those have 1.5 fawns each and half survive…..that’s 9,750 fawns surviving…….half of those are does…..add that back to 13,000 and we come to 17,875 does for next year….……..I like that a little mo better……..

The extra 40-50% we added onto doe harvest in a lot of counties around here mattered…..I think upping the doe harvest from 4,000 to 6000 in this scenario where you have 18,000 does would make a difference……This is what I was saying to Gobbler in an earlier post about Bullock Co…..The 50% increase in doe harvest definitely mattered so I would take that into consideration when coming to any conclusion about a total population level…..

Last edited by CNC; 12/08/25 08:39 PM.

Folks that know don't shoot old does........ wink
Mbrock #4384987 12/08/25 08:50 PM
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 10,972
Likes: 190
Fancy
Fancy
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 10,972
Likes: 190
Most populations can withstand 20% harvest annually and remain stable under normal recruitment rates. Keep that in mind. Some populations can remain stable with an even higher harvest rate, but recruitment needs to be very high. Doe lactation rates are an important factor to consider when determining reproductive success.

CNC #4385007 12/08/25 09:19 PM
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,381
Likes: 150
P
Glad He Doesn’t Have One
Glad He Doesn’t Have One
P Offline
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,381
Likes: 150
Originally Posted by CNC
Originally Posted by Mbrock
Originally Posted by CNC
I bet I'm low on that 1.2 fawn per doe rate I'm using......In a healthy population it's probably closer to 1.4 or better.......Correct?


Real good is 1.4-1.7


Let’s refigger it then with 1.5 fawns per doe and a little less natural adult doe mortality…..I think 50% fawn mortality is probably a pretty good ball park figure to use around here

So now if we start with 18,000 does and take out 4,000 through harvest and another 1,000 due to other causes…….that would leave us 13,000 does……..If those have 1.5 fawns each and half survive…..that’s 9,750 fawns surviving…….half of those are does…..add that back to 13,000 and we come to 17,875 does for next year….……..I like that a little mo better……..

The extra 40-50% we added onto doe harvest in a lot of counties around here mattered…..I think upping the doe harvest from 4,000 to 6000 in this scenario where you have 18,000 does would make a difference……This is what I was saying to Gobbler in an earlier post about Bullock Co…..The 50% increase in doe harvest definitely mattered so I would take that into consideration when coming to any conclusion about a total population level…..

How do you know there was a 50% increase in doe harvest?

Mbrock #4385021 12/08/25 09:40 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,071
Likes: 83
CNC Offline
Dances With Weeds
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,071
Likes: 83
Originally Posted by Mbrock
Most populations can withstand 20% harvest annually and remain stable under normal recruitment rates. Keep that in mind.

That would be about right then.........taking 4000 does from a total population of 18,000 does would be 22% harvest

Last edited by CNC; 12/08/25 09:40 PM.

Folks that know don't shoot old does........ wink
Mbrock #4385038 12/08/25 10:08 PM
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 139
W
3 point
3 point
W Online: Content
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 139
Originally Posted by Mbrock
Most populations can withstand 20% harvest annually and remain stable under normal recruitment rates. Keep that in mind. Some populations can remain stable with an even higher harvest rate, but recruitment needs to be very high. Doe lactation rates are an important factor to consider when determining reproductive success.

Is that 20% harvest mostly all does, 50/50, or mostly bucks? Or does it matter?

Mbrock #4385042 12/08/25 10:18 PM
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 760
Likes: 5
4 point
4 point
Joined: Nov 2013
Posts: 760
Likes: 5
Maybe this should be a spinoff thread, but in reference to Matt saying many expect to see “dozens” of deer in a hunt, how many do most actually want to see? For me, around 6-8 deer per sit is all I want, especially if I can see 3-4 bucks. Much more than that and the hunt almost becomes tiring; constantly trying to check around me for new deer without spooking the deer already at my stand. I figure the more I am seeing beyond that number, the more likely one is to smell me or see me, and (other than peak rut) the less likely a mature buck will want to be anywhere near that many does and young bucks.

Too many, especially does, also tends to cause all the deer to seem the same with no unique attributes. Like trying to catch a catfish but a school of tiny bream keep stealing your worm. Like anything, proper balance is very difficult to obtain though. Most places I have hunted my whole life have had far too few deer, then a few tracts have far too many.

WINMAG300 #4385048 12/08/25 10:26 PM
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,071
Likes: 83
CNC Offline
Dances With Weeds
Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,071
Likes: 83
Originally Posted by WINMAG300
Originally Posted by Mbrock
Most populations can withstand 20% harvest annually and remain stable under normal recruitment rates. Keep that in mind. Some populations can remain stable with an even higher harvest rate, but recruitment needs to be very high. Doe lactation rates are an important factor to consider when determining reproductive success.

Is that 20% harvest mostly all does, 50/50, or mostly bucks? Or does it matter?

I would think that you could have 18,000 does and the buck population vary greatly depending on buck harvest rates of a particular area…….You’re spitting out right at 5,000 buck fawns per year in our scenario……How many of them do you NOT kill??......The total buck population could be as little as a few thousand after harvest or it could be more than the doe population…..although I doubt its getting that good anywhere in this state that isnt fenced in


Folks that know don't shoot old does........ wink
Mbrock #4385479 12/09/25 10:28 PM
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 9,111
Likes: 35
14 point
14 point
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 9,111
Likes: 35
I just wanna huntem in my yard..live some place where theys plenty..an just walk to the treestand from my house..if you live in the right place..you can do that. I do not..i live in the WRONG PLACE…😐


"I dont quit.. And ill fight alone if i have to"
Page 3 of 3 1 2 3

Link Copied to Clipboard
http://www.aldeer.com/" Aldeer.com Copyright 2001-2026 Aldeer LLP.
Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 8.0.0
(Release build 20240826)
Responsive Width:

PHP: 7.4.33 Page Time: 0.042s Queries: 33 (0.023s) Memory: 3.1060 MB (Peak: 3.5614 MB) Data Comp: Off Server Time: 2026-08-26 07:02:03 UTC
Valid HTML 5 and Valid CSS