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Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 3,157 Likes: 15
10 point
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10 point
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 3,157 Likes: 15 |
Everyone one here knows you’re not going to get anywhere with CNC. Let him keep pretending with his make believe numbers game.
To GOD be All the glory!!!
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95
Dances With Weeds
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Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95 |
Either that or its a gooberhead competition.......tough call 
Last edited by CNC; 11/25/25 07:03 PM.
"For what shall it profit a man if he gain the whole world and lose his soul?" .....Mark 8:36
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Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 4,940 Likes: 122
12 point
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12 point
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 4,940 Likes: 122 |
Well I can't determine if goathead is on your side or just stirring the pot
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Joined: Jun 2025
Posts: 866 Likes: 57
6 point
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6 point
Joined: Jun 2025
Posts: 866 Likes: 57 |
If I remember correctly, the snapper check builds in maybe 30% or so noncompliance. And that is in situations where you are way more likely to be checked vs deer hunting. I would find out the snapper noncompliance estimate and at least double it for deer.
________________________________________ In a world of game takers, be a gamekeeper.
"Of what avail are forty freedoms without a blank spot on the map?"
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95
Dances With Weeds
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Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95 |
Well I can't determine if goathead is on your side or just stirring the pot Goathead is just keeping it 100......... 
"For what shall it profit a man if he gain the whole world and lose his soul?" .....Mark 8:36
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95
Dances With Weeds
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Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95 |
If I remember correctly, the snapper check builds in maybe 30% or so noncompliance. And that is in situations where you are way more likely to be checked vs deer hunting. I would find out the snapper noncompliance estimate and at least double it for deer. So I went back and looked them up for us…..Here’s the numbers for the last 5 seasons for what the hunter survey estimates versus what was checked in to game check ……The last 4 seasons have been extremely stable for compliance rates…..I’m pretty sure that 71% year was the first year they made you have to take a number to the processor……So according to that I would need to bump my totals down slightly in my spread sheet for 5 seasons ago The 2024-25 hunter survey estimated killing...... 330,400 The 2024-25 game check has us at……..206,000 62% compliance rate The 2023-24 hunter survey estimated killing...... 314,500 The 2023-24 game check has us at……..202,300 64% compliance The 2022-23 hunter survey..... 308,700 The 2022-23 game check…..196,700 63% compliance The 2021-22 hunter survey...... 301,122 The 2021-22 game check……186,500 62% compliance The 2020-21 hunter survey ......272, 700 The 2020-21 game check..... 195,200 71% compliance
Last edited by CNC; 11/25/25 11:21 PM.
"For what shall it profit a man if he gain the whole world and lose his soul?" .....Mark 8:36
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Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 10,985 Likes: 190
Fancy
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Fancy
Joined: Feb 2016
Posts: 10,985 Likes: 190 |
I’ve been saying ever since they made it mandatory there’s been no more than 60-70% compliance. I honestly think it may be closer to 50% in actuality.
Last edited by Mbrock; 11/25/25 10:53 PM.
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Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,682 Likes: 28
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,682 Likes: 28 |
I’ve been saying ever since they made it mandatory there’s been no more than 60-70% compliance. I honestly think it may be closer to 50% in actuality. I think 50% is about right. I wouldn't report any if I didn't have to have deer processed. I used to do everything by the book and provide any requested data. I liked doing the avid turkey hunter survey every year until Chuck went off the rails with the Chamberlain DGT BS and reduced the bag limit and took away the first 2 weeks. Funny, I haven't killed a deer or turkey since
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Joined: Sep 2023
Posts: 990 Likes: 54
6 point
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6 point
Joined: Sep 2023
Posts: 990 Likes: 54 |
I’ve been saying ever since they made it mandatory there’s been no more than 60-70% compliance. I honestly think it may be closer to 50% in actuality. I think 50% is about right. I wouldn't report any if I didn't have to have deer processed. I used to do everything by the book and provide any requested data. I liked doing the avid turkey hunter survey every year until Chuck went off the rails with the Chamberlain DGT BS and reduced the bag limit and took away the first 2 weeks. Funny, I haven't killed a deer or turkey since I would suggest that someone associated with the industry should still lead by honest example.
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Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,432 Likes: 156
Glad He Doesn’t Have One
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Glad He Doesn’t Have One
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,432 Likes: 156 |
So you are saying it is 60%, but in reality it is 60% of an unknown percentage because the hunter survey is obviously not 100%. Since we don’t know the fluctuations of that percentage, the fluctuations of the game check percentages carry even less weight. Small fluctuations in your percentages on the map really don’t mean anything do they?
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Joined: Jun 2025
Posts: 866 Likes: 57
6 point
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6 point
Joined: Jun 2025
Posts: 866 Likes: 57 |
So you are saying it is 60%, but in reality it is 60% of an unknown percentage because the hunter survey is obviously not 100%. Since we don’t know the fluctuations of that percentage, the fluctuations of the game check percentages carry even less weight. Small fluctuations in your percentages on the map really don’t mean anything do they? Not to mention if you didn’t check your deer, you definitely aren’t going to say you killed a deer on the survey. At least I hope people aren’t that dumb.
________________________________________ In a world of game takers, be a gamekeeper.
"Of what avail are forty freedoms without a blank spot on the map?"
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Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 40,046 Likes: 135
Freak of Nature
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Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 40,046 Likes: 135 |
So you are saying it is 60%, but in reality it is 60% of an unknown percentage because the hunter survey is obviously not 100%. Since we don’t know the fluctuations of that percentage, the fluctuations of the game check percentages carry even less weight. Small fluctuations in your percentages on the map really don’t mean anything do they? Not to mention if you didn’t check your deer, you definitely aren’t going to say you killed a deer on the survey. At least I hope people aren’t that dumb. They are , killing a big un , not checking him in and putting it on Facebook has gotten several busted .
"Why do you ask"?
Too many people spend money they don't have , on things they don't need, to impress people they don't know.
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Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 14,378 Likes: 65
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Dec 2002
Posts: 14,378 Likes: 65 |
lol good. My family has checked every deer since inception. I do feel like we’re in the minority.
Two does on two dif pieces of property this year so far. Both in Lamar co.
Everything woke turns to shucks
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Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,682 Likes: 28
Booner
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Booner
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,682 Likes: 28 |
I’ve been saying ever since they made it mandatory there’s been no more than 60-70% compliance. I honestly think it may be closer to 50% in actuality. I think 50% is about right. I wouldn't report any if I didn't have to have deer processed. I used to do everything by the book and provide any requested data. I liked doing the avid turkey hunter survey every year until Chuck went off the rails with the Chamberlain DGT BS and reduced the bag limit and took away the first 2 weeks. Funny, I haven't killed a deer or turkey since I would suggest that someone associated with the industry should still lead by honest example. Thanks for the suggestion. I'll be sure to take it into consideration
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Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,244 Likes: 209
Doing the best I can.
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Doing the best I can.
Joined: Sep 2003
Posts: 13,244 Likes: 209 |
So you are saying it is 60%, but in reality it is 60% of an unknown percentage because the hunter survey is obviously not 100%. Since we don’t know the fluctuations of that percentage, the fluctuations of the game check percentages carry even less weight. That's why I made the comment about not turning in the survey. You can't get an accurate compliance rate for something when you don't know the compliance rate for the thing with which you are comparing it to. Like you said, it's a percentage of an unknown percentage. That being said, I would think CNC would approve of that assessment since it would indicate more deer were killed in previous years than reported. That would lend to his side of the debate that too many were being killed. See Harold, I'm not ALWAYS against everything you say. 
The true mark of a man is not how he conducts himself during times of prosperity, but how he conducts himself during times of adversity.
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Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,432 Likes: 156
Glad He Doesn’t Have One
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Glad He Doesn’t Have One
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,432 Likes: 156 |
So you are saying it is 60%, but in reality it is 60% of an unknown percentage because the hunter survey is obviously not 100%. Since we don’t know the fluctuations of that percentage, the fluctuations of the game check percentages carry even less weight. That's why I made the comment about not turning in the survey. You can't get an accurate compliance rate for something when you don't know the compliance rate for the thing with which you are comparing it to. Like you said, it's a percentage of an unknown percentage. That being said, I would think CNC would approve of that assessment since it would indicate more deer were killed in previous years than reported. That would lend to his side of the debate that too many were being killed. See Harold, I'm not ALWAYS against everything you say.  You aren’t wrong. But bad data leads to bad decisions. Like I said earlier, him trying to prove his theories by providing bad data is useless. The fluctuations in the percentages could be caused by a huge amount of unknowns. It’s just not a reliable metric to prove anything at all. It would be very irresponsible to use his reasoning to make management decisions on a statewide level. Now in his defense, the state is already making irresponsible management decisions in my opinion. Trying to manage a resource with a handful of game wardens is highly irresponsible.
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Joined: Sep 2001
Posts: 1,249 Likes: 18
8 point
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8 point
Joined: Sep 2001
Posts: 1,249 Likes: 18 |
I’ve been saying ever since they made it mandatory there’s been no more than 60-70% compliance. I honestly think it may be closer to 50% in actuality. I think 50% is about right. I wouldn't report any if I didn't have to have deer processed. I used to do everything by the book and provide any requested data. I liked doing the avid turkey hunter survey every year until Chuck went off the rails with the Chamberlain DGT BS and reduced the bag limit and took away the first 2 weeks. Funny, I haven't killed a deer or turkey since I would suggest that someone associated with the industry should still lead by honest example. Yeah, anyone working for the government including officers should drive 65 on the interstate. Let me know how that works out. 
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Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,432 Likes: 156
Glad He Doesn’t Have One
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Glad He Doesn’t Have One
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 10,432 Likes: 156 |
So you are saying it is 60%, but in reality it is 60% of an unknown percentage because the hunter survey is obviously not 100%. Since we don’t know the fluctuations of that percentage, the fluctuations of the game check percentages carry even less weight. That's why I made the comment about not turning in the survey. You can't get an accurate compliance rate for something when you don't know the compliance rate for the thing with which you are comparing it to. Like you said, it's a percentage of an unknown percentage. That being said, I would think CNC would approve of that assessment since it would indicate more deer were killed in previous years than reported. That would lend to his side of the debate that too many were being killed. See Harold, I'm not ALWAYS against everything you say.  I think if we saw a drastic decline for 3 years in a row in his percentages in 75% of the counties it would indicate an issue. A decline of over 10%. That would definitely be concerning. But splitting hairs on bad data is useless.
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95
Dances With Weeds
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Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95 |
"For what shall it profit a man if he gain the whole world and lose his soul?" .....Mark 8:36
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Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95
Dances With Weeds
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Dances With Weeds
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 29,376 Likes: 95 |
The 2024-25 hunter survey estimated killing...... 330,400 The 2024-25 game check has us at……..206,000 62% compliance rate
The 2023-24 hunter survey estimated killing...... 314,500 The 2023-24 game check has us at……..202,300 64% compliance
The 2022-23 hunter survey..... 308,700 The 2022-23 game check…..196,700 63% compliance
The 2021-22 hunter survey...... 301,122 The 2021-22 game check……186,500 62% compliance
The 2020-21 hunter survey ......272, 700 The 2020-21 game check..... 195,200 71% compliance Let's take these hunter survey numbers back a couple more years to when baiting first started...... The 2019-20 hunter survey....... 218,000 The 2018-19 hunter survey.......203,000 For those keeping score at home........We've gone from 203,000 since baiting started to 330,000 last season.......I'd say that's a little more than a 1-2% difference......I think that's a 64% increase.......Also the number of hunters has risen from 191,000 up to 230,000.....I wonder where those extra hunters are coming from?? Hmmmm....... Where have the deer gone?? Right there ^^^^^ is where they've gone.
Last edited by CNC; 11/26/25 11:33 AM.
"For what shall it profit a man if he gain the whole world and lose his soul?" .....Mark 8:36
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