Originally Posted by TDog93
It may not even be that close - i got bama by 2 score

What is soread?


Started with Georgia -3.5. Betting volume has moved it to GA -2. With it being in T-town, and Bama's home field win percentage, Bama is already getting +3.5 points for the homefield advantage so Vegas started off really predicting a 7 point win for GA on a neutral field.

IMO Bama will need to win it running the ball. Most of Bama's passing yards this year have come in the form of yards after catch, on quick screens, with around 25-30% of the total passing yards coming on just 4 deep balls in blown coverage. Milroe has thrown for 590 yards so far this year with 276 yards, or 47% of his total passing yards coming on just 6 passes. While none of the teams Bama has played so far did, GA actually has the defensive backfield, athletes, speed and depth on the corners, to play heads up on the outside with Bama's WRs and take away the big yardage on the screen passes, and I also dont expect to see many Bama receivers running wide open with nobody within 10 yards of them like they were in the first few games. If someone does manage to get free and is running wide open, Milroe absolutely has to make the throw and punish them for it. If Coach D takes the leash off Milroe and lets him run wild, I think Bama by 7. He's just that good and that much of a threat, running the ball. I'm saying Milroe with 2 TDs on the ground (50-75 yds net rushing, depending on how many sacks he takes), and maybe 1 or possibly 2 through the air. Really just depends on Deboer's game plan which I certainly hope is "run da bawl". Bama has to establish the run game early and control the tempo of the game. I agree Tdog, that if Deboer goes 50/50 on the play calling, and Milroe is not running the ball on a lot of designed QB runs, I think GA wins by the 7 that the Vegas odds say they are better by. This will also be the first real test for Bama's secondary so it will be good to finally see just what kind of D they really have this year. It'll be a good game either way.