JR Holmes Oil Company </a </a Shark Guard REST NEST MATTRESS Mayer Insurance Services LLC
Previous Thread
Next Thread
Print Thread
Page 1 of 3 1 2 3
#3732782 08/23/22 09:40 PM
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 11,418
D
Booner
Booner
D Offline
Joined: Dec 2013
Posts: 11,418
Labor Day Weekend GFS models pointing toward a major hurricane coming straight up the pipe. Panama city-mobile bay area. 940MB is strong CAT3- weak 4. Likely to change but this model was predicted 4 days ago so leaning more likely

[Linked Image]


Originally Posted by Johntravis89
There is 2 different high fence. 1 small and one big! Mine was free range in the big pen and was not a breeder buck. Why does it have to be twisted around??
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 15,174
Likes: 54
Old Mossy Horns
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Jun 2020
Posts: 15,174
Likes: 54
We got rain for next 2 weeks after 5 years of record rain - wondering when the loggers and timber guys all quit around here - high wind will blow every tree down in this area if we get a hurricane


Hunt the wind - leave it better than you found it - love your neighbor as you love your self
We need prayer for our country now more than ever
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,967
Likes: 4
B
8 point
8 point
B Online: Content
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1,967
Likes: 4
We’ve got plenty of rain here the last few days, and could stand some more.
James Spann said that possible hurricane up the gulf coast is highly unlikely at this point.

Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 11,785
J
Booner
Booner
J Offline
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 11,785
Great supposed to go to Pensacola next Thursday-Monday

Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 4,885
Likes: 5
12 point
12 point
Joined: Mar 2015
Posts: 4,885
Likes: 5


WTH is that. Dang it’s been raining here for the past few weeks every day. Lord knows if we get a gust of wind equivalent to a fart trees are gonna be laid down everywhere

Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,345
Likes: 18
Booner
Booner
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,345
Likes: 18
Boy that don't look good....

Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,345
Likes: 18
Booner
Booner
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 11,345
Likes: 18
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 5,086
Likes: 7
12 point
12 point
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 5,086
Likes: 7
I wish Spann would cuss every now and again. His summary was, it’s BS for now to speculate that far in advance and internet weather trolls are morons and the people that fall for it are worse. But he would never say it like that.

Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 12,597
Likes: 24
Booner
Booner
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 12,597
Likes: 24
Dang weather forecasters can't even get the forecast a couple days out right...how can they forecast a storm, that hasn't even formed yet, a week and a half out?

Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 5,086
Likes: 7
12 point
12 point
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 5,086
Likes: 7
It’s raining as bad or worse this week than any hurricane anyway. One kick in the nuts after another.

Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 57,502
Likes: 128
Freak of Nature
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jun 2013
Posts: 57,502
Likes: 128
Originally Posted by turkey247
It’s raining as bad or worse this week than any hurricane anyway. One kick in the nuts after another.


I know and i'm sick Iof it. We were talking the other day about how it most likely won't rain come planting time, and i told 'em at this point i really don't give a DAMN...

Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,629
Likes: 1
10 point
10 point
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,629
Likes: 1
Looks like is has moved west and not as strong now.

But North Sumter is about to float away. Spann said it looks like more than 10" since midnight. And its still raining.

I have a couple trees down from the spring and was going to cut them up and split them for firewood this weekend. Guess ill wait till the ground is firmer than gravy. That dirt there is different than most of Alabama, when its wet you dont do anything.


I love my country, but don't trust my government.
hallb #3733149 08/24/22 02:39 PM
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 5,760
Likes: 75
12 point
12 point
Joined: Jan 2017
Posts: 5,760
Likes: 75
Originally Posted by hallb
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

I agree...where is this posted because I'm not seeing it anywhere??


"It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it"
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 3,240
10 point
10 point
Joined: Oct 2013
Posts: 3,240
I honestly can't remember the last day it DID NOT rain in Mobile, at least a little.


"The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants." - Thomas Jefferson
Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 19,582
Likes: 24
Old Mossy Horns
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Jul 2005
Posts: 19,582
Likes: 24
Originally Posted by Andalusia
Originally Posted by hallb
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

I agree...where is this posted because I'm not seeing it anywhere??


It must be an advance forecast model, As in, it could become that over Labor Day weekend., of Disturbance #1 on the NOAA site. #! is east of the Winward Islands currently with a less than 20% chance of formation over the next 4-5 days.


"The grass withers, the flower fades, But the word of our God stands forever." Isaiah 40:8

"Neither the wisest constitution nor the wisest laws will secure the liberty and happiness of a people whose manners are universally corrupt.� Samuel Adams
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 39,598
Freak of Nature
Freak of Nature
Joined: Jul 2011
Posts: 39,598
James Spann said that’s fake news


If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then will I hear from heaven and will forgive their sin and will heal their land. 2 Chronicles 7:14
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,629
Likes: 1
10 point
10 point
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 3,629
Likes: 1
Originally Posted by Andalusia
Originally Posted by hallb
Not seeing that thing anywhere, not even on the NHC's 5 day outlook?? https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

I agree...where is this posted because I'm not seeing it anywhere??



Tropicaltidbits.com It is a site with modeling data. Yes it is long range GFS models. Yesterday it showed a well formed storm and hitting Gulf Shores on 9\3. Todays shows less formation and it going over Louisiana on 9\4. It is too far our for anything to be accurate (thats what Spann was saying). But several days of models show something forming in the southern Gulf of Mexico. I guess that makes news because nothing has formed yet this year.

I am sure something will form at some point but there is no way to know how strong it will be or in what direction it will head. The Gulf is really warm and that will allow for storm formation.

I watch the models as a hobby and because I am associated with a charity that responds to disaster locations to provide free meals. I look at the long range models to see how I need to manage my business schedule so I can take time off work to serve people in need.

If anyone is interested in my charity the website address is heretoserveinc.org . It is a non profit but if it is not approprate to post the website I would ask that a moderator take it down or PM me to do so.

Last edited by sumpter_al; 08/24/22 03:02 PM.

I love my country, but don't trust my government.
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 857
B
6 point
6 point
B Offline
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 857
God, I pray you are wrong!

Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 16,939
Old Mossy Horns
Old Mossy Horns
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 16,939
Dang was going to panhandle fishing labor day


They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.
Ben Franklin
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 12,597
Likes: 24
Booner
Booner
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 12,597
Likes: 24
Originally Posted by HippieKiller
I honestly can't remember the last day it DID NOT rain in Mobile, at least a little.


Seems that we are living the Vietnam rain scene from Forrest Gump down here

Page 1 of 3 1 2 3

Link Copied to Clipboard
http://www.aldeer.com/" Aldeer.com Copyright 2001-2026 Aldeer LLP.
Powered by UBB.threads™ PHP Forum Software 8.0.1
(Release build 20251126)
Responsive Width:

PHP: 8.3.33 Page Time: 0.158s Queries: 55 (0.102s) Memory: 3.1210 MB (Peak: 3.6092 MB) Data Comp: Off Server Time: 2026-09-17 13:38:19 UTC
Valid HTML 5 and Valid CSS