If it is at 14,000 now, then it's gonna end up very close to the 16,000 that were reported last season during the covid shutdown.
I don't think that they are getting more than about 30% of the actual kill reported on GC, and I don't see it improving. GC has made it a certainty that we will never again have a reliable harvest estimate.
If you think participation and reports are that low how many birds you think are getting killed?? I def agree reporting sucks but idk if it’s that low. I really don’t think we’ve been killing as many birds As always be presumed to be.
I think Missouri gets real good reporting. And if they killing 40k idk if Alabama is really getting near that many. But I could be clueless
And how does GC guarantee we never will have a reliable count? Which way would be better? I have my thoughts but curious to yours
We've been arguing about this for all of the 19 years I've been on aldeer. I always thought that the hunter survey provided good info for setting seasons and limits. Every branch of science uses random sampling and I never saw any reason to think that it shouldn't work for this purpose. And they did it for more than 50 years and whatever problems it had were not as important because they should have been similar year after year. The trend is what's important, and the survey surely showed the trend.
Those who filled out the survey had no incentive to lie, so they probably didn't. It didn't count hunters who weren't required to buy a license, so it understated the harvest, but it did the same year after year.
The director said it was useless when he was pushing GC, so GC is all that I know of that they have now. The survey could provide good estimates if only 30% returned them, but if only 30% participate in GC, the numbers it provides are what is useless. It needs 100% participation to be accurate, and we all know it isn't getting close to that. So we will never again know the true harvest. I know of way more turkeys that are killed and not reported than are reported, and I have never thought that I hung around with the criminal element. Maybe I do.