Clem, what are some of the factors you think are responsible for the decline?
Some kind of avian disease.
Some kind of pesticide or combo of them.
Cyclical reproduction and recruitment (getting poults to age 2+)
Predation on poults in down cycle periods - partly due to a decline in trapping and predator hunting in general (raccoons, bobcats, possums, hogs, coyotes)
The people who kill 8 or 9 birds in a season in their state (over the limit)
Possibly a combination of all of those, or combo of some of them.
We've had posts/threads in this forum with good turkey hunters talking about how they're not seeing birds. Not that they're not having bad seasons, but legitimately not seeing and hearing as many birds as in the past. State biologists in the Southeast have been discussing and looking at this for several years and, to my knowledge, cannot pinpoint one specific problem as "Yep, that seems to be it."
Perhaps it's just a long-term cycle. Dunno. But something's going on.
I had lunch today with a friend from Arkansas who said they're seeing similar issues there. Still killing birds but a lot of hunters are puzzled at what they believe is a problem, and it's perplexing.